Clinical classification systems and long-term outcome in mid- and late-stage Parkinson’s disease

Parkinson’s disease shows a heterogeneous course and different clinical subtyping systems have been described. To compare the capabilities of two clinical classification systems, motor-phenotypes, and a simplified clinical motor-nonmotor subtyping system, a cohort was included at mean 7.9 ± 5.3 years of disease duration, classified using both clinical systems, and reexamined and reclassified at the end of an observation period. Time-points were retrospectively extracted for five major disease milestones: death, dementia, Hoehn and Yahr stage 5, nursing home living, and walking aid use. Eighty-nine patients were observed for 8.1 ± 2.7 years after inclusion. Dementia developed in 32.9% of the patients and 36.0–67.4% reached the other milestones. Motor-phenotypes were unable to stratify risks during this period, but the worst compared with the more favorable groups in the motor-nonmotor system conveyed hazard ratios between 2.6 and 63.6 for all milestones. A clear separation of risks for dying, living at the nursing home, and reaching motor end-stage was also shown when using only postural instability and gait disorder symptoms, without weighing them against the severity of the tremor. At reexamination, 29.4% and 64.7% of patients had changed classification groups in the motor-phenotype and motor-nonmotor systems, respectively. The motor-nonmotor system thus stratified risks of reaching crucial outcomes in mid–late Parkinson’s disease far better than the well-studied motor-phenotypes. Removing the tremor aspect of motor-phenotypes clearly improved this system, however. Classifications in both systems became unstable over time. The simplification of the motor-nonmotor system was easily applicable and showed potential as a prognostic marker during a large part of Parkinson’s disease.