Cargando…

A mechanistic and data-driven reconstruction of the time-varying reproduction number: Application to the COVID-19 epidemic

The effective reproduction number R(eff) is a critical epidemiological parameter that characterizes the transmissibility of a pathogen. However, this parameter is difficult to estimate in the presence of silent transmission and/or significant temporal variation in case reporting. This variation can...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales:	Cazelles, Bernard, Champagne, Clara, Nguyen-Van-Yen, Benjamin, Comiskey, Catherine, Vergu, Elisabeta, Roche, Benjamin
Formato:	Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:	English
Publicado:	Public Library of Science 2021
Materias:	Research Article
Acceso en línea:	https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8341713/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34310593 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009211

Ejemplares similares

Dynamics of the COVID-19 epidemic in Ireland under mitigation
por: Cazelles, Bernard, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Structure in the variability of the basic reproductive number (R(0)) for Zika epidemics in the Pacific islands
por: Champagne, Clara, et al.
Publicado: (2016)

Parallel trends in the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and retail/recreation and public transport mobility during non-lockdown periods
por: Cazelles, Bernard, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Influenza A Gradual and Epochal Evolution: Insights from Simple Models
por: Ballesteros, Sébastien, et al.
Publicado: (2009)

Accounting for non-stationarity in epidemiology by embedding time-varying parameters in stochastic models
por: Cazelles, Bernard, et al.
Publicado: (2018)

Impact of the Infection Period Distribution on the Epidemic Spread in a Metapopulation Model
por: Vergu, Elisabeta, et al.
Publicado: (2010)

Retrospective analysis of SARS-CoV-2 omicron invasion over delta in French regions in 2021–22: a status-based multi-variant model
por: Haschka, Thomas, et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Measurability of the epidemic reproduction number in data-driven contact networks
por: Liu, Quan-Hui, et al.
Publicado: (2018)

A New Framework and Software to Estimate Time-Varying Reproduction Numbers During Epidemics
por: Cori, Anne, et al.
Publicado: (2013)

Inference in Gaussian state-space models with mixed effects for multiple epidemic dynamics
por: Narci, Romain, et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Improved estimation of time-varying reproduction numbers at low case incidence and between epidemic waves
por: Parag, Kris V.
Publicado: (2021)

An assessment of transmission dynamics via time-varying reproduction number of the second wave of the COVID-19 epidemic in Fiji
por: Lal, Rajnesh, et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Invasion reproductive numbers for periodic epidemic models
por: Mitchell, Christopher, et al.
Publicado: (2019)

Angular reproduction numbers improve estimates of transmissibility when disease generation times are misspecified or time-varying
por: Parag, Kris V., et al.
Publicado: (2023)

Forward-looking serial intervals correctly link epidemic growth to reproduction numbers
por: Park, Sang Woo, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Minimizing the number of origins in batches of weaned calves to reduce their risks of developing bovine respiratory diseases
por: Morel-Journel, Thibaut, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Estimating Individual and Household Reproduction Numbers in an Emerging Epidemic
por: Fraser, Christophe
Publicado: (2007)

New Insights into the Estimation of Reproduction Numbers during an Epidemic
por: Sebastiani, Giovanni, et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Estimation of the time-varying reproduction number of COVID-19 outbreak in China
por: You, Chong, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Estimation of local time-varying reproduction numbers in noisy surveillance data
por: Li, Wenrui, et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Estimation of local time-varying reproduction numbers in noisy surveillance data
por: Li, Wenrui, et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Nonstationary Influence of El Niño on the Synchronous Dengue Epidemics in Thailand
por: Cazelles, Bernard, et al.
Publicado: (2005)

The influence of geographic and climate factors on the timing of dengue epidemics in Perú, 1994-2008
por: Chowell, Gerardo, et al.
Publicado: (2011)

Modelling of paratuberculosis spread between dairy cattle farms at a regional scale
por: Beaunée, Gaël, et al.
Publicado: (2015)

Estimating epidemic exponential growth rate and basic reproduction number
por: Ma, Junling
Publicado: (2020)

The Final Size of an Epidemic and Its Relation to the Basic Reproduction Number
por: Andreasen, Viggo
Publicado: (2011)

Inferring the reproduction number using the renewal equation in heterogeneous epidemics
por: Green, William D., et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Are epidemic growth rates more informative than reproduction numbers?
por: Parag, Kris V., et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Computation of the basic reproduction numbers for reaction-diffusion epidemic models
por: Yang, Chayu, et al.
Publicado: (2023)

Using mechanistic model-based inference to understand and project epidemic dynamics with time-varying contact and vaccination rates
por: Plank, Michael J., et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Estimating spatiotemporally varying malaria reproduction numbers in a near elimination setting
por: Routledge, Isobel, et al.
Publicado: (2018)

Improved inference of time-varying reproduction numbers during infectious disease outbreaks
por: Thompson, R.N., et al.
Publicado: (2019)

Comparison of different approaches in estimating the time-varying reproductive number for COVID-19
por: Jayaraj, V.J., et al.
Publicado: (2022)

The impact of social and environmental extremes on cholera time varying reproduction number in Nigeria
por: Charnley, Gina E. C., et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Improved time-varying reproduction numbers using the generation interval for COVID-19
por: Kim, Tobhin, et al.
Publicado: (2023)

Epidemic cycles driven by host behaviour
por: Althouse, Benjamin M., et al.
Publicado: (2014)

COVID-19 epidemic monitoring after non-pharmaceutical interventions: The use of time-varying reproduction number in a country with a large migrant population
por: Al Wahaibi, Adil, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Regional-scale climate-variability synchrony of cholera epidemics in West Africa
por: Constantin de Magny, Guillaume, et al.
Publicado: (2007)

Potential for a global dynamic of Influenza A (H1N1)
por: Flahault, Antoine, et al.
Publicado: (2009)

Publisher Correction: Accounting for farmers’ control decisions in a model of pathogen spread through animal trade
por: Cristancho Fajardo, Lina, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Cannot write session to /tmp/vufind_sessions/sess_eh06s24vg7dnc0enb08hk5m34u