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COVID-19 and other viruses: Holding back its spreading by massive testing
The experience of Singapore and South Korea makes it clear that under certain circumstances massive testing is an effective way for containing the advance of the COVID-19. In this paper, we propose a modified SEIR model which takes into account tracing and massive testing, proving theoretically that...
Autores principales: | , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Elsevier Ltd.
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8351357/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34393387 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2021.115710 |
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author | Sainz-Pardo, José L. Valero, José |
author_facet | Sainz-Pardo, José L. Valero, José |
author_sort | Sainz-Pardo, José L. |
collection | PubMed |
description | The experience of Singapore and South Korea makes it clear that under certain circumstances massive testing is an effective way for containing the advance of the COVID-19. In this paper, we propose a modified SEIR model which takes into account tracing and massive testing, proving theoretically that more tracing and testing implies a reduction of the total number of infected people in the long run. We apply this model to the spreading of the first wave of the disease in Spain, obtaining numerical results. After that, we introduce a heuristic approach in order to minimize the COVID-19 spreading by planning effective test distributions among the populations of a region over a period of time. As an application, the impact of distributing tests among the counties of New York according to this method is computed in terms of the number of saved infected individuals. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8351357 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | Elsevier Ltd. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-83513572021-08-09 COVID-19 and other viruses: Holding back its spreading by massive testing Sainz-Pardo, José L. Valero, José Expert Syst Appl Article The experience of Singapore and South Korea makes it clear that under certain circumstances massive testing is an effective way for containing the advance of the COVID-19. In this paper, we propose a modified SEIR model which takes into account tracing and massive testing, proving theoretically that more tracing and testing implies a reduction of the total number of infected people in the long run. We apply this model to the spreading of the first wave of the disease in Spain, obtaining numerical results. After that, we introduce a heuristic approach in order to minimize the COVID-19 spreading by planning effective test distributions among the populations of a region over a period of time. As an application, the impact of distributing tests among the counties of New York according to this method is computed in terms of the number of saved infected individuals. Elsevier Ltd. 2021-12-30 2021-08-09 /pmc/articles/PMC8351357/ /pubmed/34393387 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2021.115710 Text en © 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active. |
spellingShingle | Article Sainz-Pardo, José L. Valero, José COVID-19 and other viruses: Holding back its spreading by massive testing |
title | COVID-19 and other viruses: Holding back its spreading by massive testing |
title_full | COVID-19 and other viruses: Holding back its spreading by massive testing |
title_fullStr | COVID-19 and other viruses: Holding back its spreading by massive testing |
title_full_unstemmed | COVID-19 and other viruses: Holding back its spreading by massive testing |
title_short | COVID-19 and other viruses: Holding back its spreading by massive testing |
title_sort | covid-19 and other viruses: holding back its spreading by massive testing |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8351357/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34393387 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2021.115710 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT sainzpardojosel covid19andothervirusesholdingbackitsspreadingbymassivetesting AT valerojose covid19andothervirusesholdingbackitsspreadingbymassivetesting |