Programmed cell death-ligand 1 expression predicts poor treatment response and prognostic value in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients without esophagectomy

Research on association between programmed cell death ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression in cancer cells and prognosis of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) has been controversial and has focused on patients with surgical resection. We aimed to investigate impact of PD-L1 on treatment response and prognostic value in ESCC and analyze which subset of patients may benefit from immunotherapy. The PD-L1 expression was evaluated by immunohistochemical analysis in all patients. Stratification analysis was performed according to whether surgery was performed. There were no significant correlations between PD-L1 expression with 3-year overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) in 81 ESCC patients. Then stratification analysis was performed. Among these 44 patients without surgery, disease control rate (DCR) in negative PD-L1 expression group (78%) was significantly better than those (42%) in positive PD-L1 expression group (P = 0.032). There were no significant correlations between PD-L1 expression with 3-year OS and PFS in 37 ESCC patients receiving surgery. However, in 44 ESCC patients without surgery, the Kaplan-Meier method showed that 3-year OS and PFS in negative PD-L1 expression group were significantly better than those in positive PD-L1 expression group. In Cox univariate and multivariate model, PD-L1 was an independent prognosticator for inferior OS (p = 0.011; p = 0.017). Our research revealed prognostic role of PD-L1 expression in cancer cells may be variable in different treatment methods. Consequently, PD-L1 may serve as an independent prognostic factor and provide a theoretical basis for combining conventional therapy with immunotherapy targeting PD-L1 to achieve better treatment outcome in ESCC patients without esophagectomy.