Projecting the global impact of fossil fuel production from the Former Soviet Union

Detailed projections of the Former Soviet Union (FSU) fossil fuel production has been created. Russian production has been modelled at the region (oblast) level where possible. The projections were made using the Geologic Resource Supply-Demand Model (GeRS-DeMo). Low, Best Guess and High scenarios w...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Mohr, Steve, Wang, Jianliang, Ward, James, Giurco, Damien
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Singapore 2021
Materias:
Research Article
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8351787/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34395031
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40789-021-00449-x
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author Mohr, Steve
Wang, Jianliang
Ward, James
Giurco, Damien
author_facet Mohr, Steve
Wang, Jianliang
Ward, James
Giurco, Damien
author_sort Mohr, Steve
collection PubMed
description Detailed projections of the Former Soviet Union (FSU) fossil fuel production has been created. Russian production has been modelled at the region (oblast) level where possible. The projections were made using the Geologic Resource Supply-Demand Model (GeRS-DeMo). Low, Best Guess and High scenarios were created. FSU fossil fuels are projected to peak between 2027 and 2087 with the range due to spread of Ultimately Recoverable Resources (URR) values used. The Best Guess (BG) scenario anticipates FSU will peak in 2087 with production over 170 EJ per year. The FSU projections were combined with rest of the world projections (Mohr et al. 2015b), the emissions from the High scenario for the world are similar to the IPCC A1 AIM scenario. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40789-021-00449-x.
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spelling pubmed-83517872021-08-10 Projecting the global impact of fossil fuel production from the Former Soviet Union Mohr, Steve Wang, Jianliang Ward, James Giurco, Damien Int J Coal Sci Technol Research Article Detailed projections of the Former Soviet Union (FSU) fossil fuel production has been created. Russian production has been modelled at the region (oblast) level where possible. The projections were made using the Geologic Resource Supply-Demand Model (GeRS-DeMo). Low, Best Guess and High scenarios were created. FSU fossil fuels are projected to peak between 2027 and 2087 with the range due to spread of Ultimately Recoverable Resources (URR) values used. The Best Guess (BG) scenario anticipates FSU will peak in 2087 with production over 170 EJ per year. The FSU projections were combined with rest of the world projections (Mohr et al. 2015b), the emissions from the High scenario for the world are similar to the IPCC A1 AIM scenario. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40789-021-00449-x. Springer Singapore 2021-08-09 2021 /pmc/articles/PMC8351787/ /pubmed/34395031 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40789-021-00449-x Text en © The Author(s) 2021 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Research Article
Mohr, Steve
Wang, Jianliang
Ward, James
Giurco, Damien
Projecting the global impact of fossil fuel production from the Former Soviet Union
title Projecting the global impact of fossil fuel production from the Former Soviet Union
title_full Projecting the global impact of fossil fuel production from the Former Soviet Union
title_fullStr Projecting the global impact of fossil fuel production from the Former Soviet Union
title_full_unstemmed Projecting the global impact of fossil fuel production from the Former Soviet Union
title_short Projecting the global impact of fossil fuel production from the Former Soviet Union
title_sort projecting the global impact of fossil fuel production from the former soviet union
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8351787/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34395031
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40789-021-00449-x
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