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Transmission dynamics of novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 among healthcare workers, a case study in Iran

One of the main concerns during the COVID-19 pandemic was the protection of healthcare workers against the novel coronavirus. The critical role and vulnerability of healthcare workers during the COVID-19 pandemic leads us to derive a mathematical model to express the spread of coronavirus between th...

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Autores principales: Gozalpour, Nima, Badfar, Ehsan, Nikoofard, Amirhossein
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Netherlands 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8353067/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34393375
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11071-021-06778-5
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author Gozalpour, Nima
Badfar, Ehsan
Nikoofard, Amirhossein
author_facet Gozalpour, Nima
Badfar, Ehsan
Nikoofard, Amirhossein
author_sort Gozalpour, Nima
collection PubMed
description One of the main concerns during the COVID-19 pandemic was the protection of healthcare workers against the novel coronavirus. The critical role and vulnerability of healthcare workers during the COVID-19 pandemic leads us to derive a mathematical model to express the spread of coronavirus between the healthcare workers. In the first step, the SECIRH model is introduced, and then the mathematical equations are written. The proposed model includes eight state variables, i.e., Susceptible, Exposed, Carrier, Infected, Hospitalized, ICU admitted, Dead, and finally Recovered. In this model, the vaccination, protective equipment, and recruitment policy are considered as preventive actions. The formal confirmed data provided by the Iranian ministry of health is used to simulate the proposed model. The simulation results revealed that the proposed model has a high degree of consistency with the actual COVID-19 daily statistics. In addition, the roles of vaccination, protective equipment, and recruitment policy for the elimination of coronavirus among the healthcare workers are investigated. The results of this research help the policymakers to adopt the best decisions against the spread of coronavirus among healthcare workers.
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spelling pubmed-83530672021-08-10 Transmission dynamics of novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 among healthcare workers, a case study in Iran Gozalpour, Nima Badfar, Ehsan Nikoofard, Amirhossein Nonlinear Dyn Original Paper One of the main concerns during the COVID-19 pandemic was the protection of healthcare workers against the novel coronavirus. The critical role and vulnerability of healthcare workers during the COVID-19 pandemic leads us to derive a mathematical model to express the spread of coronavirus between the healthcare workers. In the first step, the SECIRH model is introduced, and then the mathematical equations are written. The proposed model includes eight state variables, i.e., Susceptible, Exposed, Carrier, Infected, Hospitalized, ICU admitted, Dead, and finally Recovered. In this model, the vaccination, protective equipment, and recruitment policy are considered as preventive actions. The formal confirmed data provided by the Iranian ministry of health is used to simulate the proposed model. The simulation results revealed that the proposed model has a high degree of consistency with the actual COVID-19 daily statistics. In addition, the roles of vaccination, protective equipment, and recruitment policy for the elimination of coronavirus among the healthcare workers are investigated. The results of this research help the policymakers to adopt the best decisions against the spread of coronavirus among healthcare workers. Springer Netherlands 2021-08-10 2021 /pmc/articles/PMC8353067/ /pubmed/34393375 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11071-021-06778-5 Text en © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature B.V. 2021 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Original Paper
Gozalpour, Nima
Badfar, Ehsan
Nikoofard, Amirhossein
Transmission dynamics of novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 among healthcare workers, a case study in Iran
title Transmission dynamics of novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 among healthcare workers, a case study in Iran
title_full Transmission dynamics of novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 among healthcare workers, a case study in Iran
title_fullStr Transmission dynamics of novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 among healthcare workers, a case study in Iran
title_full_unstemmed Transmission dynamics of novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 among healthcare workers, a case study in Iran
title_short Transmission dynamics of novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 among healthcare workers, a case study in Iran
title_sort transmission dynamics of novel coronavirus sars-cov-2 among healthcare workers, a case study in iran
topic Original Paper
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8353067/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34393375
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11071-021-06778-5
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