Predictable country-level bias in the reporting of COVID-19 deaths

We examine whether a country's management of the COVID-19 pandemic relate to the downward biasing of the number of reported deaths from COVID-19. Using deviations from historical averages of the total number of monthly deaths within a country, we find that the probability of underreporting of C...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Kobilov, Botir, Rouen, Ethan, Serafeim, George
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of Academic Center for Chinese Economic Practice and Thinking, Tsinghua UniversitySociety for the Analysis of Government and Economics. 2021
Materias:
Article
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8354784/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jge.2021.100012
Descripción
Sumario:We examine whether a country's management of the COVID-19 pandemic relate to the downward biasing of the number of reported deaths from COVID-19. Using deviations from historical averages of the total number of monthly deaths within a country, we find that the probability of underreporting of COVID-related deaths for countries with the most stringent policies was 58.6%, compared to a 28.2% for countries with the least stringent policies. Countries with the lowest ex ante healthcare capacity in terms of number of available beds underreport deaths by 52.5% on average, compared to 23.1% for countries with the greatest capacity.

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