Self-rated health trajectories: A dynamic time warp analysis

Self-rated health (SRH), individuals’ overall perception of their health, is a key predictor of health events. To target disease prevention efforts, it is important to understand how SRH develops over time. The goal of this short communication is to find prototypic SRH trajectories by applying dynamic time warping, a time series comparison technique initially developed for speech recognition. Revealing prototypic SRH trajectories can help direct disease prevention efforts towards trajectories that are more likely to result in adverse health events. Based on data from a Dutch representative sample of 2,154 individuals, our dynamic time warp analysis suggests that Dutch individuals do not typically show a steady growth or decline in SRH. Instead, we identified four relatively stable SRH trajectories that differed in average SRH. One of these trajectories is a path of consistent low SRH.