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Modeling COVID-19 spread in small colleges
We develop an agent-based model on a network meant to capture features unique to COVID-19 spread through a small residential college. We find that a safe reopening requires strong policy from administrators combined with cautious behavior from students. Strong policy includes weekly screening tests...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Public Library of Science
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8372956/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34407115 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0255654 |
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author | Bahl, Riti Eikmeier, Nicole Fraser, Alexandra Junge, Matthew Keesing, Felicia Nakahata, Kukai Reeves, Lily |
author_facet | Bahl, Riti Eikmeier, Nicole Fraser, Alexandra Junge, Matthew Keesing, Felicia Nakahata, Kukai Reeves, Lily |
author_sort | Bahl, Riti |
collection | PubMed |
description | We develop an agent-based model on a network meant to capture features unique to COVID-19 spread through a small residential college. We find that a safe reopening requires strong policy from administrators combined with cautious behavior from students. Strong policy includes weekly screening tests with quick turnaround and halving the campus population. Cautious behavior from students means wearing facemasks, socializing less, and showing up for COVID-19 testing. We also find that comprehensive testing and facemasks are the most effective single interventions, building closures can lead to infection spikes in other areas depending on student behavior, and faster return of test results significantly reduces total infections. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8372956 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | Public Library of Science |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-83729562021-08-19 Modeling COVID-19 spread in small colleges Bahl, Riti Eikmeier, Nicole Fraser, Alexandra Junge, Matthew Keesing, Felicia Nakahata, Kukai Reeves, Lily PLoS One Research Article We develop an agent-based model on a network meant to capture features unique to COVID-19 spread through a small residential college. We find that a safe reopening requires strong policy from administrators combined with cautious behavior from students. Strong policy includes weekly screening tests with quick turnaround and halving the campus population. Cautious behavior from students means wearing facemasks, socializing less, and showing up for COVID-19 testing. We also find that comprehensive testing and facemasks are the most effective single interventions, building closures can lead to infection spikes in other areas depending on student behavior, and faster return of test results significantly reduces total infections. Public Library of Science 2021-08-18 /pmc/articles/PMC8372956/ /pubmed/34407115 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0255654 Text en © 2021 Bahl et al https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. |
spellingShingle | Research Article Bahl, Riti Eikmeier, Nicole Fraser, Alexandra Junge, Matthew Keesing, Felicia Nakahata, Kukai Reeves, Lily Modeling COVID-19 spread in small colleges |
title | Modeling COVID-19 spread in small colleges |
title_full | Modeling COVID-19 spread in small colleges |
title_fullStr | Modeling COVID-19 spread in small colleges |
title_full_unstemmed | Modeling COVID-19 spread in small colleges |
title_short | Modeling COVID-19 spread in small colleges |
title_sort | modeling covid-19 spread in small colleges |
topic | Research Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8372956/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34407115 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0255654 |
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