Serum indices based on creatinine and cystatin C predict mortality in patients with non-dialysis chronic kidney disease

Serum indices based on creatinine and cystatin C, including creatinine/cystatin C ratio (Cr/CysC), ratio and difference of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) based on cystatin C and creatinine (eGFRcys/eGFRcre and eGFR(Diff)), and serum creatinine × eGFRcys, are recently identified serum markers for sarcopenia. We aimed to evaluate the association between these serum indices and mortality in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). A single-center retrospective cohort study included 1141 adult patients with stage 1–5 CKD between 2016 and 2018. Basic characteristics, comorbidities, laboratory parameters, and serum creatinine and cystatin C values were obtained. Patients were followed up until death, dialysis, transfer to another hospital, or end of the study. The median age (interquartile range) of our participants was 71 (62–81) years. During a median follow-up of 39 months, 116 (10.2%) patients died. Compared to the survivor group, Cr/CysC, eGFRcys/eGFRcre, eGFR(Diff), and Cr × eGFRcys were all lower in the non-survivors (p < 0.001 for all). The receiver operating characteristic curves of serum indices for predicting mortality showed that all four indices had significant discriminative power. Based on the Cox proportional hazard models, lower values of four serum indices, both as continuous and categorical variables, independently predicted mortality. Our findings suggest that low serum indices of Cr/CysC, eGFRcys/eGFRcre, eGFRDiff, and Cr × eGFRcys are independent indicators of mortality in patients with non-dialysis CKD.