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Deep Learning Approach for Robust Prediction of Reservoir Bubble Point Pressure

[Image: see text] The bubble point pressure (P(b)) is a crucial pressure–volume–temperature (PVT) property and a primary input needed for performing many petroleum engineering calculations, such as reservoir simulation. The industrial practice of determining P(b) is by direct measurement from PVT te...

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Autores principales: Alakbari, Fahd Saeed, Mohyaldinn, Mysara Eissa, Ayoub, Mohammed Abdalla, Muhsan, Ali Samer
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: American Chemical Society 2021
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8388097/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34471753
http://dx.doi.org/10.1021/acsomega.1c02376
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author Alakbari, Fahd Saeed
Mohyaldinn, Mysara Eissa
Ayoub, Mohammed Abdalla
Muhsan, Ali Samer
author_facet Alakbari, Fahd Saeed
Mohyaldinn, Mysara Eissa
Ayoub, Mohammed Abdalla
Muhsan, Ali Samer
author_sort Alakbari, Fahd Saeed
collection PubMed
description [Image: see text] The bubble point pressure (P(b)) is a crucial pressure–volume–temperature (PVT) property and a primary input needed for performing many petroleum engineering calculations, such as reservoir simulation. The industrial practice of determining P(b) is by direct measurement from PVT tests or prediction using empirical correlations. The main problems encountered with the published empirical correlations are their lack of accuracy and the noncomprehensive data set used to develop the model. In addition, most of the published correlations have not proven the relationships between the inputs and outputs as part of the validation process (i.e., no trend analysis was conducted). Nowadays, deep learning techniques such as long short-term memory (LSTM) networks have begun to replace the empirical correlations as they generate high accuracy. This study, therefore, presents a robust LSTM-based model for predicting P(b) using a global data set of 760 collected data points from different fields worldwide to build the model. The developed model was then validated by applying trend analysis to ensure that the model follows the correct relationships between the inputs and outputs and performing statistical analysis after comparing the most published correlations. The robustness and accuracy of the model have been verified by performing various statistical analyses and using additional data that was not part of the data set used to develop the model. The trend analysis results have proven that the proposed LSTM-based model follows the correct relationships, indicating the model’s reliability. Furthermore, the statistical analysis results have shown that the lowest average absolute percent relative error (AAPRE) is 8.422% and the highest correlation coefficient is 0.99. These values are much better than those given by the most accurate models in the literature.
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spelling pubmed-83880972021-08-31 Deep Learning Approach for Robust Prediction of Reservoir Bubble Point Pressure Alakbari, Fahd Saeed Mohyaldinn, Mysara Eissa Ayoub, Mohammed Abdalla Muhsan, Ali Samer ACS Omega [Image: see text] The bubble point pressure (P(b)) is a crucial pressure–volume–temperature (PVT) property and a primary input needed for performing many petroleum engineering calculations, such as reservoir simulation. The industrial practice of determining P(b) is by direct measurement from PVT tests or prediction using empirical correlations. The main problems encountered with the published empirical correlations are their lack of accuracy and the noncomprehensive data set used to develop the model. In addition, most of the published correlations have not proven the relationships between the inputs and outputs as part of the validation process (i.e., no trend analysis was conducted). Nowadays, deep learning techniques such as long short-term memory (LSTM) networks have begun to replace the empirical correlations as they generate high accuracy. This study, therefore, presents a robust LSTM-based model for predicting P(b) using a global data set of 760 collected data points from different fields worldwide to build the model. The developed model was then validated by applying trend analysis to ensure that the model follows the correct relationships between the inputs and outputs and performing statistical analysis after comparing the most published correlations. The robustness and accuracy of the model have been verified by performing various statistical analyses and using additional data that was not part of the data set used to develop the model. The trend analysis results have proven that the proposed LSTM-based model follows the correct relationships, indicating the model’s reliability. Furthermore, the statistical analysis results have shown that the lowest average absolute percent relative error (AAPRE) is 8.422% and the highest correlation coefficient is 0.99. These values are much better than those given by the most accurate models in the literature. American Chemical Society 2021-08-12 /pmc/articles/PMC8388097/ /pubmed/34471753 http://dx.doi.org/10.1021/acsomega.1c02376 Text en © 2021 The Authors. Published by American Chemical Society https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/Permits non-commercial access and re-use, provided that author attribution and integrity are maintained; but does not permit creation of adaptations or other derivative works (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
spellingShingle Alakbari, Fahd Saeed
Mohyaldinn, Mysara Eissa
Ayoub, Mohammed Abdalla
Muhsan, Ali Samer
Deep Learning Approach for Robust Prediction of Reservoir Bubble Point Pressure
title Deep Learning Approach for Robust Prediction of Reservoir Bubble Point Pressure
title_full Deep Learning Approach for Robust Prediction of Reservoir Bubble Point Pressure
title_fullStr Deep Learning Approach for Robust Prediction of Reservoir Bubble Point Pressure
title_full_unstemmed Deep Learning Approach for Robust Prediction of Reservoir Bubble Point Pressure
title_short Deep Learning Approach for Robust Prediction of Reservoir Bubble Point Pressure
title_sort deep learning approach for robust prediction of reservoir bubble point pressure
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8388097/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34471753
http://dx.doi.org/10.1021/acsomega.1c02376
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