A COVID-19 Epidemic Model Predicting the Effectiveness of Vaccination in the US

A model of a COVID-19 epidemic is used to predict the effectiveness of vaccination in the US. The model incorporates key features of COVID-19 epidemics: asymptomatic and symptomatic infectiousness, reported and unreported cases data, and social measures implemented to decrease infection transmission...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Webb, Glenn
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: MDPI 2021
Materias:
Article
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8395902/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34449651
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/idr13030062
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author Webb, Glenn
author_facet Webb, Glenn
author_sort Webb, Glenn
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description A model of a COVID-19 epidemic is used to predict the effectiveness of vaccination in the US. The model incorporates key features of COVID-19 epidemics: asymptomatic and symptomatic infectiousness, reported and unreported cases data, and social measures implemented to decrease infection transmission. The model analyzes the effectiveness of vaccination in terms of vaccination efficiency, vaccination scheduling, and relaxation of social measures that decrease disease transmission. The model demonstrates that the subsiding of the epidemic as vaccination is implemented depends critically on the scale of relaxation of social measures that reduce disease transmission.
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spelling pubmed-83959022021-08-28 A COVID-19 Epidemic Model Predicting the Effectiveness of Vaccination in the US Webb, Glenn Infect Dis Rep Article A model of a COVID-19 epidemic is used to predict the effectiveness of vaccination in the US. The model incorporates key features of COVID-19 epidemics: asymptomatic and symptomatic infectiousness, reported and unreported cases data, and social measures implemented to decrease infection transmission. The model analyzes the effectiveness of vaccination in terms of vaccination efficiency, vaccination scheduling, and relaxation of social measures that decrease disease transmission. The model demonstrates that the subsiding of the epidemic as vaccination is implemented depends critically on the scale of relaxation of social measures that reduce disease transmission. MDPI 2021-07-26 /pmc/articles/PMC8395902/ /pubmed/34449651 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/idr13030062 Text en © 2021 by the author. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Article
Webb, Glenn
A COVID-19 Epidemic Model Predicting the Effectiveness of Vaccination in the US
title A COVID-19 Epidemic Model Predicting the Effectiveness of Vaccination in the US
title_full A COVID-19 Epidemic Model Predicting the Effectiveness of Vaccination in the US
title_fullStr A COVID-19 Epidemic Model Predicting the Effectiveness of Vaccination in the US
title_full_unstemmed A COVID-19 Epidemic Model Predicting the Effectiveness of Vaccination in the US
title_short A COVID-19 Epidemic Model Predicting the Effectiveness of Vaccination in the US
title_sort covid-19 epidemic model predicting the effectiveness of vaccination in the us
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8395902/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34449651
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/idr13030062
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