Cargando…

Predicting Impacts of Climate Change on Northward Range Expansion of Invasive Weeds in South Korea

Predicting the distribution of invasive weeds under climate change is important for the early identification of areas that are susceptible to invasion and for the adoption of the best preventive measures. Here, we predicted the habitat suitability of 16 invasive weeds in response to climate change a...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Hong, Sun Hee, Lee, Yong Ho, Lee, Gaeun, Lee, Do-Hun, Adhikari, Pradeep
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: MDPI 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8401637/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34451649
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/plants10081604
_version_ 1783745598324736000
author Hong, Sun Hee
Lee, Yong Ho
Lee, Gaeun
Lee, Do-Hun
Adhikari, Pradeep
author_facet Hong, Sun Hee
Lee, Yong Ho
Lee, Gaeun
Lee, Do-Hun
Adhikari, Pradeep
author_sort Hong, Sun Hee
collection PubMed
description Predicting the distribution of invasive weeds under climate change is important for the early identification of areas that are susceptible to invasion and for the adoption of the best preventive measures. Here, we predicted the habitat suitability of 16 invasive weeds in response to climate change and land cover changes in South Korea using a maximum entropy modeling approach. Based on the predictions of the model, climate change is likely to increase habitat suitability. Currently, the area of moderately suitable and highly suitable habitats is estimated to be 8877.46 km(2), and 990.29 km(2), respectively, and these areas are expected to increase up to 496.52% by 2050 and 1439.65% by 2070 under the representative concentration pathways 4.5 scenario across the country. Although habitat suitability was estimated to be highest in the southern regions (<36° latitude), the central and northern regions are also predicted to have substantial increases in suitable habitat areas. Our study revealed that climate change would exacerbate the threat of northward weed invasions by shifting the climatic barriers of invasive weeds from the southern region. Thus, it is essential to initiate control and management strategies in the southern region to prevent further invasions into new areas.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-8401637
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2021
publisher MDPI
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-84016372021-08-29 Predicting Impacts of Climate Change on Northward Range Expansion of Invasive Weeds in South Korea Hong, Sun Hee Lee, Yong Ho Lee, Gaeun Lee, Do-Hun Adhikari, Pradeep Plants (Basel) Article Predicting the distribution of invasive weeds under climate change is important for the early identification of areas that are susceptible to invasion and for the adoption of the best preventive measures. Here, we predicted the habitat suitability of 16 invasive weeds in response to climate change and land cover changes in South Korea using a maximum entropy modeling approach. Based on the predictions of the model, climate change is likely to increase habitat suitability. Currently, the area of moderately suitable and highly suitable habitats is estimated to be 8877.46 km(2), and 990.29 km(2), respectively, and these areas are expected to increase up to 496.52% by 2050 and 1439.65% by 2070 under the representative concentration pathways 4.5 scenario across the country. Although habitat suitability was estimated to be highest in the southern regions (<36° latitude), the central and northern regions are also predicted to have substantial increases in suitable habitat areas. Our study revealed that climate change would exacerbate the threat of northward weed invasions by shifting the climatic barriers of invasive weeds from the southern region. Thus, it is essential to initiate control and management strategies in the southern region to prevent further invasions into new areas. MDPI 2021-08-05 /pmc/articles/PMC8401637/ /pubmed/34451649 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/plants10081604 Text en © 2021 by the authors. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Article
Hong, Sun Hee
Lee, Yong Ho
Lee, Gaeun
Lee, Do-Hun
Adhikari, Pradeep
Predicting Impacts of Climate Change on Northward Range Expansion of Invasive Weeds in South Korea
title Predicting Impacts of Climate Change on Northward Range Expansion of Invasive Weeds in South Korea
title_full Predicting Impacts of Climate Change on Northward Range Expansion of Invasive Weeds in South Korea
title_fullStr Predicting Impacts of Climate Change on Northward Range Expansion of Invasive Weeds in South Korea
title_full_unstemmed Predicting Impacts of Climate Change on Northward Range Expansion of Invasive Weeds in South Korea
title_short Predicting Impacts of Climate Change on Northward Range Expansion of Invasive Weeds in South Korea
title_sort predicting impacts of climate change on northward range expansion of invasive weeds in south korea
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8401637/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34451649
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/plants10081604
work_keys_str_mv AT hongsunhee predictingimpactsofclimatechangeonnorthwardrangeexpansionofinvasiveweedsinsouthkorea
AT leeyongho predictingimpactsofclimatechangeonnorthwardrangeexpansionofinvasiveweedsinsouthkorea
AT leegaeun predictingimpactsofclimatechangeonnorthwardrangeexpansionofinvasiveweedsinsouthkorea
AT leedohun predictingimpactsofclimatechangeonnorthwardrangeexpansionofinvasiveweedsinsouthkorea
AT adhikaripradeep predictingimpactsofclimatechangeonnorthwardrangeexpansionofinvasiveweedsinsouthkorea