Trends in COVID-19 cases, deaths, and staffing shortages in US nursing homes by rural and urban status

The purpose of the study was to examine trends in COVID-19 cases, related deaths, and staffing shortages in nursing homes (NH) by rural and urban status from May 2020 to Feb 2021. Generalized linear mixed models with state-fixed effects were used to estimate the interaction effect of study period and rural/urban status on having at least: one COVID-19 case, one related death, and/or at least one week of staffing shortage using the NH COVID-19 data spanning the 40-week period. The findings revealed shortages in staff, particularly direct care providers, were greatly accelerated in rural NHs as the pandemic wore on over time. Conversely, staffing shortages in urban NHs were relatively stable despite the fluctuating COVID-19 cases over the same time period. The findings highlight the need of identifying effective strategies that prevent rural NHs from encountering staffing deficits in response to long-lasting natural disasters such as the COVID-19 pandemic.