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Can Science Help Resolve the Controversy on the Origins of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic?

The origins of the calamitous SARS-CoV-2 pandemic are now the subject of vigorous discussion and debate between two competing hypotheses for how it entered the human population: (i) direct infection from a feral source, likely a bat and possibly with an intermediate mammalian host, and (ii) a lab ac...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Casadevall, Arturo, Weiss, Susan R., Imperiale, Michael J.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: American Society for Microbiology 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8406229/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34334001
http://dx.doi.org/10.1128/mBio.01948-21
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author Casadevall, Arturo
Weiss, Susan R.
Imperiale, Michael J.
author_facet Casadevall, Arturo
Weiss, Susan R.
Imperiale, Michael J.
author_sort Casadevall, Arturo
collection PubMed
description The origins of the calamitous SARS-CoV-2 pandemic are now the subject of vigorous discussion and debate between two competing hypotheses for how it entered the human population: (i) direct infection from a feral source, likely a bat and possibly with an intermediate mammalian host, and (ii) a lab accident whereby bat isolates infected a researcher, who then passed it to others. Here, we ask whether the tools of science can help resolve the origins question and conclude that while such studies can provide important information, these are unlikely to provide a definitive answer. Currently available data combined with historical precedent from other outbreaks and viewed through the prism of Occam’s razor favor the feral source hypothesis, but science can provide only probabilities, not certainty.
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spelling pubmed-84062292021-09-09 Can Science Help Resolve the Controversy on the Origins of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic? Casadevall, Arturo Weiss, Susan R. Imperiale, Michael J. mBio Editorial The origins of the calamitous SARS-CoV-2 pandemic are now the subject of vigorous discussion and debate between two competing hypotheses for how it entered the human population: (i) direct infection from a feral source, likely a bat and possibly with an intermediate mammalian host, and (ii) a lab accident whereby bat isolates infected a researcher, who then passed it to others. Here, we ask whether the tools of science can help resolve the origins question and conclude that while such studies can provide important information, these are unlikely to provide a definitive answer. Currently available data combined with historical precedent from other outbreaks and viewed through the prism of Occam’s razor favor the feral source hypothesis, but science can provide only probabilities, not certainty. American Society for Microbiology 2021-08-02 /pmc/articles/PMC8406229/ /pubmed/34334001 http://dx.doi.org/10.1128/mBio.01948-21 Text en Copyright © 2021 Casadevall et al. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Editorial
Casadevall, Arturo
Weiss, Susan R.
Imperiale, Michael J.
Can Science Help Resolve the Controversy on the Origins of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic?
title Can Science Help Resolve the Controversy on the Origins of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic?
title_full Can Science Help Resolve the Controversy on the Origins of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic?
title_fullStr Can Science Help Resolve the Controversy on the Origins of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic?
title_full_unstemmed Can Science Help Resolve the Controversy on the Origins of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic?
title_short Can Science Help Resolve the Controversy on the Origins of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic?
title_sort can science help resolve the controversy on the origins of the sars-cov-2 pandemic?
topic Editorial
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8406229/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34334001
http://dx.doi.org/10.1128/mBio.01948-21
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