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Can Science Help Resolve the Controversy on the Origins of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic?
The origins of the calamitous SARS-CoV-2 pandemic are now the subject of vigorous discussion and debate between two competing hypotheses for how it entered the human population: (i) direct infection from a feral source, likely a bat and possibly with an intermediate mammalian host, and (ii) a lab ac...
Autores principales: | , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
American Society for Microbiology
2021
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Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8406229/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34334001 http://dx.doi.org/10.1128/mBio.01948-21 |
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author | Casadevall, Arturo Weiss, Susan R. Imperiale, Michael J. |
author_facet | Casadevall, Arturo Weiss, Susan R. Imperiale, Michael J. |
author_sort | Casadevall, Arturo |
collection | PubMed |
description | The origins of the calamitous SARS-CoV-2 pandemic are now the subject of vigorous discussion and debate between two competing hypotheses for how it entered the human population: (i) direct infection from a feral source, likely a bat and possibly with an intermediate mammalian host, and (ii) a lab accident whereby bat isolates infected a researcher, who then passed it to others. Here, we ask whether the tools of science can help resolve the origins question and conclude that while such studies can provide important information, these are unlikely to provide a definitive answer. Currently available data combined with historical precedent from other outbreaks and viewed through the prism of Occam’s razor favor the feral source hypothesis, but science can provide only probabilities, not certainty. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8406229 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | American Society for Microbiology |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-84062292021-09-09 Can Science Help Resolve the Controversy on the Origins of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic? Casadevall, Arturo Weiss, Susan R. Imperiale, Michael J. mBio Editorial The origins of the calamitous SARS-CoV-2 pandemic are now the subject of vigorous discussion and debate between two competing hypotheses for how it entered the human population: (i) direct infection from a feral source, likely a bat and possibly with an intermediate mammalian host, and (ii) a lab accident whereby bat isolates infected a researcher, who then passed it to others. Here, we ask whether the tools of science can help resolve the origins question and conclude that while such studies can provide important information, these are unlikely to provide a definitive answer. Currently available data combined with historical precedent from other outbreaks and viewed through the prism of Occam’s razor favor the feral source hypothesis, but science can provide only probabilities, not certainty. American Society for Microbiology 2021-08-02 /pmc/articles/PMC8406229/ /pubmed/34334001 http://dx.doi.org/10.1128/mBio.01948-21 Text en Copyright © 2021 Casadevall et al. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) . |
spellingShingle | Editorial Casadevall, Arturo Weiss, Susan R. Imperiale, Michael J. Can Science Help Resolve the Controversy on the Origins of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic? |
title | Can Science Help Resolve the Controversy on the Origins of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic? |
title_full | Can Science Help Resolve the Controversy on the Origins of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic? |
title_fullStr | Can Science Help Resolve the Controversy on the Origins of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic? |
title_full_unstemmed | Can Science Help Resolve the Controversy on the Origins of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic? |
title_short | Can Science Help Resolve the Controversy on the Origins of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic? |
title_sort | can science help resolve the controversy on the origins of the sars-cov-2 pandemic? |
topic | Editorial |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8406229/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34334001 http://dx.doi.org/10.1128/mBio.01948-21 |
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