Mathematically aggregating experts’ predictions of possible futures

Structured protocols offer a transparent and systematic way to elicit and combine/aggregate, probabilistic predictions from multiple experts. These judgements can be aggregated behaviourally or mathematically to derive a final group prediction. Mathematical rules (e.g., weighted linear combinations...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Hanea, A. M., Wilkinson, D. P., McBride, M., Lyon, A., van Ravenzwaaij, D., Singleton Thorn, F., Gray, C., Mandel, D. R., Willcox, A., Gould, E., Smith, E. T., Mody, F., Bush, M., Fidler, F., Fraser, H., Wintle, B. C.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2021
Materias:
Research Article
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8412308/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34473784
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0256919

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