Economic policy uncertainty and volatility of treasury futures

This paper investigates the relation between Treasury futures market volatility and economic policy uncertainty using GARCH-MIDAS. We formulated models with the realized volatility of Treasury futures, the level and volatility of economic policy uncertainty. We find that the realized volatility of T...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Zhang, Maojun, Zhao, Yang, Nan, Jiangxia
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer US 2021
Materias:
Article
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8414964/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11147-021-09182-8
Descripción
Sumario:This paper investigates the relation between Treasury futures market volatility and economic policy uncertainty using GARCH-MIDAS. We formulated models with the realized volatility of Treasury futures, the level and volatility of economic policy uncertainty. We find that the realized volatility of Treasury futures and economic policy uncertainty play a significant role in the dynamics of long-run volatility in Treasury futures markets in China and United States.

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