Too afraid to vote? The effects of COVID-19 on voting behaviour()

This paper studies the causal effect of local exposure to COVID-19 on voting behaviour and electoral outcomes using evidence from the regional elections held in Spain on 12 July 2020. Exploiting the variation in exposure to COVID-19 and using a difference-in-differences identification strategy, we s...

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Autores principales: Fernandez-Navia, Tania, Polo-Muro, Eduardo, Tercero-Lucas, David
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. 2021
Materias:
Article
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8417350/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34511674
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2021.102012
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author Fernandez-Navia, Tania
Polo-Muro, Eduardo
Tercero-Lucas, David
author_facet Fernandez-Navia, Tania
Polo-Muro, Eduardo
Tercero-Lucas, David
author_sort Fernandez-Navia, Tania
collection PubMed
description This paper studies the causal effect of local exposure to COVID-19 on voting behaviour and electoral outcomes using evidence from the regional elections held in Spain on 12 July 2020. Exploiting the variation in exposure to COVID-19 and using a difference-in-differences identification strategy, we show that turnout was between 2.6 and 5.1 percentage points lower in municipalities that experienced positive cases of COVID-19. In addition, the results show a substantial increase in the probability of voting for nationalist parties. We discuss the idea of perceived fear being the potential mechanism driving our results.
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spelling pubmed-84173502021-09-07 Too afraid to vote? The effects of COVID-19 on voting behaviour() Fernandez-Navia, Tania Polo-Muro, Eduardo Tercero-Lucas, David Eur J Polit Econ Article This paper studies the causal effect of local exposure to COVID-19 on voting behaviour and electoral outcomes using evidence from the regional elections held in Spain on 12 July 2020. Exploiting the variation in exposure to COVID-19 and using a difference-in-differences identification strategy, we show that turnout was between 2.6 and 5.1 percentage points lower in municipalities that experienced positive cases of COVID-19. In addition, the results show a substantial increase in the probability of voting for nationalist parties. We discuss the idea of perceived fear being the potential mechanism driving our results. The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. 2021-09 2021-03-16 /pmc/articles/PMC8417350/ /pubmed/34511674 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2021.102012 Text en © 2021 The Authors Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Fernandez-Navia, Tania
Polo-Muro, Eduardo
Tercero-Lucas, David
Too afraid to vote? The effects of COVID-19 on voting behaviour()
title Too afraid to vote? The effects of COVID-19 on voting behaviour()
title_full Too afraid to vote? The effects of COVID-19 on voting behaviour()
title_fullStr Too afraid to vote? The effects of COVID-19 on voting behaviour()
title_full_unstemmed Too afraid to vote? The effects of COVID-19 on voting behaviour()
title_short Too afraid to vote? The effects of COVID-19 on voting behaviour()
title_sort too afraid to vote? the effects of covid-19 on voting behaviour()
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8417350/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34511674
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2021.102012
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