The prognostic values of serum markers in hepatocellular carcinoma after invasive therapies based on real‐world data

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common malignancy with poor prognosis, and the mortality rate remains high. More than 70% of HCC patients have recurrence within 5 years after treatment. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the prognostic values of serum markers with retrospective data. METHODS: We applied real‐world data (RWD) to analyze the prognostic values of six serum markers for HCC patients after treatment, including α‐fetoprotein (AFP), α‐fetoprotein‐L3 (AFP‐L3), Golgi protein73 (GP73), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), albumin (ALB), and total bilirubin (TBil). A total of 268 cases were enrolled to analyze recurrence‐free survival (RFS), and 104 cases were used to analyze overall survival (OS). RESULTS: Our results demonstrated that patients with higher AFP and AFP‐L3 had shorter RFS (p = 0.016 and 0.004), while higher GP73, ALT, and TBil experienced longer RFS (p = 0.000, 0.020, and 0.019). Patients with high‐level GP73, ALT, TBil, and low‐level ALB had significantly higher mortality rate (p=0.035, 0.008, 0.010, and 0.005). Multivariate analysis revealed that GP73 (HR = 1.548, p = 0.001) and ALT (HR = 1.316, p = 0.046) were identified as independent prognostic factors for RFS, ALB (HR = 0.127, p = 0.007), and ALT (HR = 0.237, p = 0.01) were identified as independent prognostic factors for OS. Subgroups analysis showed that GP73 had better prognostic values than other serum markers in early‐stage HCC (p = 0.023). CONCLUSIONS: Our study demonstrates that AFP, AFP‐L3, and GP73 can be used as prognostic indicators for predicting the recurrence of HCC, while liver function tests have better survival prediction values. GP73 can act as a promising prognostic marker for early‐stage HCC.