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Timing differences in the impact of Covid-19 on price volatility between assets()

We empirically examine the impacts of Covid-19 on asset price volatilities by focusing on the timing. This paper has three contributions. First, we propose a new Covid-19 dependent regime-switching volatility model for the examination. Second, results show a shift to a higher price volatility regime...

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Autor principal: Kanamura, Takashi
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier Inc. 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8418564/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34512210
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2021.102401
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author Kanamura, Takashi
author_facet Kanamura, Takashi
author_sort Kanamura, Takashi
collection PubMed
description We empirically examine the impacts of Covid-19 on asset price volatilities by focusing on the timing. This paper has three contributions. First, we propose a new Covid-19 dependent regime-switching volatility model for the examination. Second, results show a shift to a higher price volatility regime from a lower one for financial assets and commodities after late February 2020 when Covid-19 spread all over the world, but the timing of the impacts varies from immediate timing for the S&P 500, the FTSE 100, the COMEX gold and silver futures to the delayed timing for the ICE Brent crude oil futures followed by the timing for the ICE UK natural gas futures. Third, we find the sensitivity of Covid-19 information to the regime switch differs between financial assets and precious metal ones which have the immediate impacts: the infection speed, i.e. the changes in the number of Covid-19 infected individuals, enhance the impacts on the tendency to a high price volatility regime for the S&P 500 and the FTSE 100; both the infection speed and the number of the deaths mitigate those impacts for the gold and silver futures, respectively during a turmoil period due to Covid-19, suggesting that the gold and silver markets are functioning as risk-hedging safety assets alternative to financial assets during Covid-19 turmoil.
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spelling pubmed-84185642021-09-07 Timing differences in the impact of Covid-19 on price volatility between assets() Kanamura, Takashi Financ Res Lett Article We empirically examine the impacts of Covid-19 on asset price volatilities by focusing on the timing. This paper has three contributions. First, we propose a new Covid-19 dependent regime-switching volatility model for the examination. Second, results show a shift to a higher price volatility regime from a lower one for financial assets and commodities after late February 2020 when Covid-19 spread all over the world, but the timing of the impacts varies from immediate timing for the S&P 500, the FTSE 100, the COMEX gold and silver futures to the delayed timing for the ICE Brent crude oil futures followed by the timing for the ICE UK natural gas futures. Third, we find the sensitivity of Covid-19 information to the regime switch differs between financial assets and precious metal ones which have the immediate impacts: the infection speed, i.e. the changes in the number of Covid-19 infected individuals, enhance the impacts on the tendency to a high price volatility regime for the S&P 500 and the FTSE 100; both the infection speed and the number of the deaths mitigate those impacts for the gold and silver futures, respectively during a turmoil period due to Covid-19, suggesting that the gold and silver markets are functioning as risk-hedging safety assets alternative to financial assets during Covid-19 turmoil. Elsevier Inc. 2022-05 2021-09-05 /pmc/articles/PMC8418564/ /pubmed/34512210 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2021.102401 Text en © 2021 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Kanamura, Takashi
Timing differences in the impact of Covid-19 on price volatility between assets()
title Timing differences in the impact of Covid-19 on price volatility between assets()
title_full Timing differences in the impact of Covid-19 on price volatility between assets()
title_fullStr Timing differences in the impact of Covid-19 on price volatility between assets()
title_full_unstemmed Timing differences in the impact of Covid-19 on price volatility between assets()
title_short Timing differences in the impact of Covid-19 on price volatility between assets()
title_sort timing differences in the impact of covid-19 on price volatility between assets()
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8418564/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34512210
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2021.102401
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