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Behavioral response of population on transmissibility and saturation incidence of deadly pandemic through fractional order dynamical system

The world entered in another wave of the SARS-CoV-2 due to non-compliance of standard operating procedures appropriately, initiated by respective governments. Apparently, measures like using face masks and social distancing were not observed by populace that ultimately worsens the situation. The beh...

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Autores principales: Abdul Razzaq, Oyoon, Alam Khan, Najeeb, Faizan, Muhammad, Ara, Asmat, Ullah, Saif
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8422186/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34513576
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104438
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author Abdul Razzaq, Oyoon
Alam Khan, Najeeb
Faizan, Muhammad
Ara, Asmat
Ullah, Saif
author_facet Abdul Razzaq, Oyoon
Alam Khan, Najeeb
Faizan, Muhammad
Ara, Asmat
Ullah, Saif
author_sort Abdul Razzaq, Oyoon
collection PubMed
description The world entered in another wave of the SARS-CoV-2 due to non-compliance of standard operating procedures appropriately, initiated by respective governments. Apparently, measures like using face masks and social distancing were not observed by populace that ultimately worsens the situation. The behavioral response of the population induces a change in the dynamical outcomes of the pandemic, which is documented in this paper for all intents and purposes. The innovative perception is executed through a compartmental model with the incorporation of fractional calculus and saturation incident rate. In the first instance, the epidemiological model is designed with proportional fractional definition considering the compartmental individuals of susceptible, social distancing, exposed, quarantined, infected, isolated and recovered populations. By virtue of proportional fractional derivative, effective dynamical outcomes of equilibrium states and basic reproduction number are successfully elaborated with memory effect. The expansion of this derivative greatly simplifies the model to integer order while remaining in the fractional context. Subsequently, the memory effects on the asymptotic profiles are demonstrated through various graphical plots and tabulated values. In addition, the inclusion of saturation incident rate further explains the transmissibility of infection for different behavior of susceptible individuals. Mathematically, the results are also validated through comparative analysis of values with the solutions attained from fractional fourth order Runge-Kutta method (FRK4).
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spelling pubmed-84221862021-09-07 Behavioral response of population on transmissibility and saturation incidence of deadly pandemic through fractional order dynamical system Abdul Razzaq, Oyoon Alam Khan, Najeeb Faizan, Muhammad Ara, Asmat Ullah, Saif Results Phys Article The world entered in another wave of the SARS-CoV-2 due to non-compliance of standard operating procedures appropriately, initiated by respective governments. Apparently, measures like using face masks and social distancing were not observed by populace that ultimately worsens the situation. The behavioral response of the population induces a change in the dynamical outcomes of the pandemic, which is documented in this paper for all intents and purposes. The innovative perception is executed through a compartmental model with the incorporation of fractional calculus and saturation incident rate. In the first instance, the epidemiological model is designed with proportional fractional definition considering the compartmental individuals of susceptible, social distancing, exposed, quarantined, infected, isolated and recovered populations. By virtue of proportional fractional derivative, effective dynamical outcomes of equilibrium states and basic reproduction number are successfully elaborated with memory effect. The expansion of this derivative greatly simplifies the model to integer order while remaining in the fractional context. Subsequently, the memory effects on the asymptotic profiles are demonstrated through various graphical plots and tabulated values. In addition, the inclusion of saturation incident rate further explains the transmissibility of infection for different behavior of susceptible individuals. Mathematically, the results are also validated through comparative analysis of values with the solutions attained from fractional fourth order Runge-Kutta method (FRK4). The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. 2021-07 2021-06-12 /pmc/articles/PMC8422186/ /pubmed/34513576 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104438 Text en © 2021 The Author(s) Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Abdul Razzaq, Oyoon
Alam Khan, Najeeb
Faizan, Muhammad
Ara, Asmat
Ullah, Saif
Behavioral response of population on transmissibility and saturation incidence of deadly pandemic through fractional order dynamical system
title Behavioral response of population on transmissibility and saturation incidence of deadly pandemic through fractional order dynamical system
title_full Behavioral response of population on transmissibility and saturation incidence of deadly pandemic through fractional order dynamical system
title_fullStr Behavioral response of population on transmissibility and saturation incidence of deadly pandemic through fractional order dynamical system
title_full_unstemmed Behavioral response of population on transmissibility and saturation incidence of deadly pandemic through fractional order dynamical system
title_short Behavioral response of population on transmissibility and saturation incidence of deadly pandemic through fractional order dynamical system
title_sort behavioral response of population on transmissibility and saturation incidence of deadly pandemic through fractional order dynamical system
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8422186/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34513576
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104438
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