Cargando…
Behavioral response of population on transmissibility and saturation incidence of deadly pandemic through fractional order dynamical system
The world entered in another wave of the SARS-CoV-2 due to non-compliance of standard operating procedures appropriately, initiated by respective governments. Apparently, measures like using face masks and social distancing were not observed by populace that ultimately worsens the situation. The beh...
Autores principales: | , , , , |
---|---|
Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V.
2021
|
Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8422186/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34513576 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104438 |
_version_ | 1783749238884139008 |
---|---|
author | Abdul Razzaq, Oyoon Alam Khan, Najeeb Faizan, Muhammad Ara, Asmat Ullah, Saif |
author_facet | Abdul Razzaq, Oyoon Alam Khan, Najeeb Faizan, Muhammad Ara, Asmat Ullah, Saif |
author_sort | Abdul Razzaq, Oyoon |
collection | PubMed |
description | The world entered in another wave of the SARS-CoV-2 due to non-compliance of standard operating procedures appropriately, initiated by respective governments. Apparently, measures like using face masks and social distancing were not observed by populace that ultimately worsens the situation. The behavioral response of the population induces a change in the dynamical outcomes of the pandemic, which is documented in this paper for all intents and purposes. The innovative perception is executed through a compartmental model with the incorporation of fractional calculus and saturation incident rate. In the first instance, the epidemiological model is designed with proportional fractional definition considering the compartmental individuals of susceptible, social distancing, exposed, quarantined, infected, isolated and recovered populations. By virtue of proportional fractional derivative, effective dynamical outcomes of equilibrium states and basic reproduction number are successfully elaborated with memory effect. The expansion of this derivative greatly simplifies the model to integer order while remaining in the fractional context. Subsequently, the memory effects on the asymptotic profiles are demonstrated through various graphical plots and tabulated values. In addition, the inclusion of saturation incident rate further explains the transmissibility of infection for different behavior of susceptible individuals. Mathematically, the results are also validated through comparative analysis of values with the solutions attained from fractional fourth order Runge-Kutta method (FRK4). |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8422186 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-84221862021-09-07 Behavioral response of population on transmissibility and saturation incidence of deadly pandemic through fractional order dynamical system Abdul Razzaq, Oyoon Alam Khan, Najeeb Faizan, Muhammad Ara, Asmat Ullah, Saif Results Phys Article The world entered in another wave of the SARS-CoV-2 due to non-compliance of standard operating procedures appropriately, initiated by respective governments. Apparently, measures like using face masks and social distancing were not observed by populace that ultimately worsens the situation. The behavioral response of the population induces a change in the dynamical outcomes of the pandemic, which is documented in this paper for all intents and purposes. The innovative perception is executed through a compartmental model with the incorporation of fractional calculus and saturation incident rate. In the first instance, the epidemiological model is designed with proportional fractional definition considering the compartmental individuals of susceptible, social distancing, exposed, quarantined, infected, isolated and recovered populations. By virtue of proportional fractional derivative, effective dynamical outcomes of equilibrium states and basic reproduction number are successfully elaborated with memory effect. The expansion of this derivative greatly simplifies the model to integer order while remaining in the fractional context. Subsequently, the memory effects on the asymptotic profiles are demonstrated through various graphical plots and tabulated values. In addition, the inclusion of saturation incident rate further explains the transmissibility of infection for different behavior of susceptible individuals. Mathematically, the results are also validated through comparative analysis of values with the solutions attained from fractional fourth order Runge-Kutta method (FRK4). The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. 2021-07 2021-06-12 /pmc/articles/PMC8422186/ /pubmed/34513576 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104438 Text en © 2021 The Author(s) Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active. |
spellingShingle | Article Abdul Razzaq, Oyoon Alam Khan, Najeeb Faizan, Muhammad Ara, Asmat Ullah, Saif Behavioral response of population on transmissibility and saturation incidence of deadly pandemic through fractional order dynamical system |
title | Behavioral response of population on transmissibility and saturation incidence of deadly pandemic through fractional order dynamical system |
title_full | Behavioral response of population on transmissibility and saturation incidence of deadly pandemic through fractional order dynamical system |
title_fullStr | Behavioral response of population on transmissibility and saturation incidence of deadly pandemic through fractional order dynamical system |
title_full_unstemmed | Behavioral response of population on transmissibility and saturation incidence of deadly pandemic through fractional order dynamical system |
title_short | Behavioral response of population on transmissibility and saturation incidence of deadly pandemic through fractional order dynamical system |
title_sort | behavioral response of population on transmissibility and saturation incidence of deadly pandemic through fractional order dynamical system |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8422186/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34513576 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104438 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT abdulrazzaqoyoon behavioralresponseofpopulationontransmissibilityandsaturationincidenceofdeadlypandemicthroughfractionalorderdynamicalsystem AT alamkhannajeeb behavioralresponseofpopulationontransmissibilityandsaturationincidenceofdeadlypandemicthroughfractionalorderdynamicalsystem AT faizanmuhammad behavioralresponseofpopulationontransmissibilityandsaturationincidenceofdeadlypandemicthroughfractionalorderdynamicalsystem AT araasmat behavioralresponseofpopulationontransmissibilityandsaturationincidenceofdeadlypandemicthroughfractionalorderdynamicalsystem AT ullahsaif behavioralresponseofpopulationontransmissibilityandsaturationincidenceofdeadlypandemicthroughfractionalorderdynamicalsystem |