Estimating the Incidence of Tuberculosis — Shanghai, China, 2025−2050

What is already known on this topic? Despite the impressive achievements in eliminating tuberculosis (TB), the TB burden is still heavy in China. By 2010, China halved the prevalence and mortality reported in 1990, but China is still one of 30 high-TB burden countries in the world. What is added by...

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Autores principales: Yu, Shegen, Ma, Jiaqi, Jia, Zhongwei
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Editorial Office of CCDCW, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention 2020
Materias:
Preplanned Studies
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8422224/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34594823
http://dx.doi.org/10.46234/ccdcw2020.266
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author Yu, Shegen
Ma, Jiaqi
Jia, Zhongwei
author_facet Yu, Shegen
Ma, Jiaqi
Jia, Zhongwei
author_sort Yu, Shegen
collection PubMed
description What is already known on this topic? Despite the impressive achievements in eliminating tuberculosis (TB), the TB burden is still heavy in China. By 2010, China halved the prevalence and mortality reported in 1990, but China is still one of 30 high-TB burden countries in the world. What is added by this report? A dynamic transmission model including both rifampin resistant TB (RR-TB) and relapse of pulmonary TB was created. The TB incidence of Shanghai in 2025 and 2035 was predicted, and sensitively analysis of reducing transmission, treating latent TB infection (LTBI), and reducing the recurrence rate was conducted. What are the implications for public health practice? Screening for latent TB infections should be carried out regularly in high-risk groups and areas using tuberculin skin testing and/or interferon gamma release assays.
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spelling pubmed-84222242021-09-29 Estimating the Incidence of Tuberculosis — Shanghai, China, 2025−2050 Yu, Shegen Ma, Jiaqi Jia, Zhongwei China CDC Wkly Preplanned Studies What is already known on this topic? Despite the impressive achievements in eliminating tuberculosis (TB), the TB burden is still heavy in China. By 2010, China halved the prevalence and mortality reported in 1990, but China is still one of 30 high-TB burden countries in the world. What is added by this report? A dynamic transmission model including both rifampin resistant TB (RR-TB) and relapse of pulmonary TB was created. The TB incidence of Shanghai in 2025 and 2035 was predicted, and sensitively analysis of reducing transmission, treating latent TB infection (LTBI), and reducing the recurrence rate was conducted. What are the implications for public health practice? Screening for latent TB infections should be carried out regularly in high-risk groups and areas using tuberculin skin testing and/or interferon gamma release assays. Editorial Office of CCDCW, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention 2020-12-25 /pmc/articles/PMC8422224/ /pubmed/34594823 http://dx.doi.org/10.46234/ccdcw2020.266 Text en Copyright and License information: Editorial Office of CCDCW, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention 2020 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-Share Alike 4.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/)
spellingShingle Preplanned Studies
Yu, Shegen
Ma, Jiaqi
Jia, Zhongwei
Estimating the Incidence of Tuberculosis — Shanghai, China, 2025−2050
title Estimating the Incidence of Tuberculosis — Shanghai, China, 2025−2050
title_full Estimating the Incidence of Tuberculosis — Shanghai, China, 2025−2050
title_fullStr Estimating the Incidence of Tuberculosis — Shanghai, China, 2025−2050
title_full_unstemmed Estimating the Incidence of Tuberculosis — Shanghai, China, 2025−2050
title_short Estimating the Incidence of Tuberculosis — Shanghai, China, 2025−2050
title_sort estimating the incidence of tuberculosis — shanghai, china, 2025−2050
topic Preplanned Studies
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8422224/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34594823
http://dx.doi.org/10.46234/ccdcw2020.266
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