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Serial Interval and Reproductive Number of COVID-19 Among 116 Infector-infectee Pairs — Jingzhou City, Hubei Province, China, 2020

WHAT IS ALREADY KNOWN ABOUT THIS TOPIC? The key epidemiological parameters including serial interval, basic reproductive number (R(0)), and effective reproductive number (R(t)) are crucial for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) control and prevention. Previous studies provided different estimations...

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Autores principales: Liu, Tian, Qi, Li, Yao, Menglei, Tian, Keqing, Lin, Maowen, Jiang, Hong, Zeng, Minmin, Huang, Jigui
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Editorial Office of CCDCW, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention 2020
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8428449/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34594686
http://dx.doi.org/10.46234/ccdcw2020.118
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author Liu, Tian
Qi, Li
Yao, Menglei
Tian, Keqing
Lin, Maowen
Jiang, Hong
Zeng, Minmin
Huang, Jigui
author_facet Liu, Tian
Qi, Li
Yao, Menglei
Tian, Keqing
Lin, Maowen
Jiang, Hong
Zeng, Minmin
Huang, Jigui
author_sort Liu, Tian
collection PubMed
description WHAT IS ALREADY KNOWN ABOUT THIS TOPIC? The key epidemiological parameters including serial interval, basic reproductive number (R(0)), and effective reproductive number (R(t)) are crucial for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) control and prevention. Previous studies provided different estimations but were often flawed by some limitations such as insufficient sample size and selection bias. WHAT IS ADDED BY THIS REPORT? In this study, a total of 116 infector-infectee pairs meeting strict inclusion criteria were selected for analysis. The mean serial interval of COVID-19 was 5.81 days (standard deviation: 3.24). The estimated mean with 95% confidence interval of R(0) was 3.39 (3.07–3.75) and 2.98 (2.62–3.38) using exponential growth (EG) and maximum likelihood (ML) methods, respectively. The R(t) in the early phase of the epidemic was above 1 with the peak of 4.43 occurring on January 8, and then showing subsequent declines and approaching 1 on January 24. WHAT ARE THE IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH PRACTICES? This study supports previous findings that COVID-19 has high transmissibility and that implementing comprehensive measures is effective in controlling the COVID-19 outbreak.
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spelling pubmed-84284492021-09-29 Serial Interval and Reproductive Number of COVID-19 Among 116 Infector-infectee Pairs — Jingzhou City, Hubei Province, China, 2020 Liu, Tian Qi, Li Yao, Menglei Tian, Keqing Lin, Maowen Jiang, Hong Zeng, Minmin Huang, Jigui China CDC Wkly Preplanned Studies WHAT IS ALREADY KNOWN ABOUT THIS TOPIC? The key epidemiological parameters including serial interval, basic reproductive number (R(0)), and effective reproductive number (R(t)) are crucial for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) control and prevention. Previous studies provided different estimations but were often flawed by some limitations such as insufficient sample size and selection bias. WHAT IS ADDED BY THIS REPORT? In this study, a total of 116 infector-infectee pairs meeting strict inclusion criteria were selected for analysis. The mean serial interval of COVID-19 was 5.81 days (standard deviation: 3.24). The estimated mean with 95% confidence interval of R(0) was 3.39 (3.07–3.75) and 2.98 (2.62–3.38) using exponential growth (EG) and maximum likelihood (ML) methods, respectively. The R(t) in the early phase of the epidemic was above 1 with the peak of 4.43 occurring on January 8, and then showing subsequent declines and approaching 1 on January 24. WHAT ARE THE IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH PRACTICES? This study supports previous findings that COVID-19 has high transmissibility and that implementing comprehensive measures is effective in controlling the COVID-19 outbreak. Editorial Office of CCDCW, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention 2020-07-03 /pmc/articles/PMC8428449/ /pubmed/34594686 http://dx.doi.org/10.46234/ccdcw2020.118 Text en Copyright and License information: Editorial Office of CCDCW, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention 2020 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-Share Alike 4.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/)
spellingShingle Preplanned Studies
Liu, Tian
Qi, Li
Yao, Menglei
Tian, Keqing
Lin, Maowen
Jiang, Hong
Zeng, Minmin
Huang, Jigui
Serial Interval and Reproductive Number of COVID-19 Among 116 Infector-infectee Pairs — Jingzhou City, Hubei Province, China, 2020
title Serial Interval and Reproductive Number of COVID-19 Among 116 Infector-infectee Pairs — Jingzhou City, Hubei Province, China, 2020
title_full Serial Interval and Reproductive Number of COVID-19 Among 116 Infector-infectee Pairs — Jingzhou City, Hubei Province, China, 2020
title_fullStr Serial Interval and Reproductive Number of COVID-19 Among 116 Infector-infectee Pairs — Jingzhou City, Hubei Province, China, 2020
title_full_unstemmed Serial Interval and Reproductive Number of COVID-19 Among 116 Infector-infectee Pairs — Jingzhou City, Hubei Province, China, 2020
title_short Serial Interval and Reproductive Number of COVID-19 Among 116 Infector-infectee Pairs — Jingzhou City, Hubei Province, China, 2020
title_sort serial interval and reproductive number of covid-19 among 116 infector-infectee pairs — jingzhou city, hubei province, china, 2020
topic Preplanned Studies
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8428449/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34594686
http://dx.doi.org/10.46234/ccdcw2020.118
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