Cargando…
Serial Interval and Reproductive Number of COVID-19 Among 116 Infector-infectee Pairs — Jingzhou City, Hubei Province, China, 2020
WHAT IS ALREADY KNOWN ABOUT THIS TOPIC? The key epidemiological parameters including serial interval, basic reproductive number (R(0)), and effective reproductive number (R(t)) are crucial for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) control and prevention. Previous studies provided different estimations...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , |
---|---|
Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Editorial Office of CCDCW, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention
2020
|
Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8428449/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34594686 http://dx.doi.org/10.46234/ccdcw2020.118 |
_version_ | 1783750380425838592 |
---|---|
author | Liu, Tian Qi, Li Yao, Menglei Tian, Keqing Lin, Maowen Jiang, Hong Zeng, Minmin Huang, Jigui |
author_facet | Liu, Tian Qi, Li Yao, Menglei Tian, Keqing Lin, Maowen Jiang, Hong Zeng, Minmin Huang, Jigui |
author_sort | Liu, Tian |
collection | PubMed |
description | WHAT IS ALREADY KNOWN ABOUT THIS TOPIC? The key epidemiological parameters including serial interval, basic reproductive number (R(0)), and effective reproductive number (R(t)) are crucial for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) control and prevention. Previous studies provided different estimations but were often flawed by some limitations such as insufficient sample size and selection bias. WHAT IS ADDED BY THIS REPORT? In this study, a total of 116 infector-infectee pairs meeting strict inclusion criteria were selected for analysis. The mean serial interval of COVID-19 was 5.81 days (standard deviation: 3.24). The estimated mean with 95% confidence interval of R(0) was 3.39 (3.07–3.75) and 2.98 (2.62–3.38) using exponential growth (EG) and maximum likelihood (ML) methods, respectively. The R(t) in the early phase of the epidemic was above 1 with the peak of 4.43 occurring on January 8, and then showing subsequent declines and approaching 1 on January 24. WHAT ARE THE IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH PRACTICES? This study supports previous findings that COVID-19 has high transmissibility and that implementing comprehensive measures is effective in controlling the COVID-19 outbreak. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8428449 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2020 |
publisher | Editorial Office of CCDCW, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-84284492021-09-29 Serial Interval and Reproductive Number of COVID-19 Among 116 Infector-infectee Pairs — Jingzhou City, Hubei Province, China, 2020 Liu, Tian Qi, Li Yao, Menglei Tian, Keqing Lin, Maowen Jiang, Hong Zeng, Minmin Huang, Jigui China CDC Wkly Preplanned Studies WHAT IS ALREADY KNOWN ABOUT THIS TOPIC? The key epidemiological parameters including serial interval, basic reproductive number (R(0)), and effective reproductive number (R(t)) are crucial for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) control and prevention. Previous studies provided different estimations but were often flawed by some limitations such as insufficient sample size and selection bias. WHAT IS ADDED BY THIS REPORT? In this study, a total of 116 infector-infectee pairs meeting strict inclusion criteria were selected for analysis. The mean serial interval of COVID-19 was 5.81 days (standard deviation: 3.24). The estimated mean with 95% confidence interval of R(0) was 3.39 (3.07–3.75) and 2.98 (2.62–3.38) using exponential growth (EG) and maximum likelihood (ML) methods, respectively. The R(t) in the early phase of the epidemic was above 1 with the peak of 4.43 occurring on January 8, and then showing subsequent declines and approaching 1 on January 24. WHAT ARE THE IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH PRACTICES? This study supports previous findings that COVID-19 has high transmissibility and that implementing comprehensive measures is effective in controlling the COVID-19 outbreak. Editorial Office of CCDCW, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention 2020-07-03 /pmc/articles/PMC8428449/ /pubmed/34594686 http://dx.doi.org/10.46234/ccdcw2020.118 Text en Copyright and License information: Editorial Office of CCDCW, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention 2020 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-Share Alike 4.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/) |
spellingShingle | Preplanned Studies Liu, Tian Qi, Li Yao, Menglei Tian, Keqing Lin, Maowen Jiang, Hong Zeng, Minmin Huang, Jigui Serial Interval and Reproductive Number of COVID-19 Among 116 Infector-infectee Pairs — Jingzhou City, Hubei Province, China, 2020 |
title | Serial Interval and Reproductive Number of COVID-19 Among 116 Infector-infectee Pairs — Jingzhou City, Hubei Province, China, 2020 |
title_full | Serial Interval and Reproductive Number of COVID-19 Among 116 Infector-infectee Pairs — Jingzhou City, Hubei Province, China, 2020 |
title_fullStr | Serial Interval and Reproductive Number of COVID-19 Among 116 Infector-infectee Pairs — Jingzhou City, Hubei Province, China, 2020 |
title_full_unstemmed | Serial Interval and Reproductive Number of COVID-19 Among 116 Infector-infectee Pairs — Jingzhou City, Hubei Province, China, 2020 |
title_short | Serial Interval and Reproductive Number of COVID-19 Among 116 Infector-infectee Pairs — Jingzhou City, Hubei Province, China, 2020 |
title_sort | serial interval and reproductive number of covid-19 among 116 infector-infectee pairs — jingzhou city, hubei province, china, 2020 |
topic | Preplanned Studies |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8428449/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34594686 http://dx.doi.org/10.46234/ccdcw2020.118 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT liutian serialintervalandreproductivenumberofcovid19among116infectorinfecteepairsjingzhoucityhubeiprovincechina2020 AT qili serialintervalandreproductivenumberofcovid19among116infectorinfecteepairsjingzhoucityhubeiprovincechina2020 AT yaomenglei serialintervalandreproductivenumberofcovid19among116infectorinfecteepairsjingzhoucityhubeiprovincechina2020 AT tiankeqing serialintervalandreproductivenumberofcovid19among116infectorinfecteepairsjingzhoucityhubeiprovincechina2020 AT linmaowen serialintervalandreproductivenumberofcovid19among116infectorinfecteepairsjingzhoucityhubeiprovincechina2020 AT jianghong serialintervalandreproductivenumberofcovid19among116infectorinfecteepairsjingzhoucityhubeiprovincechina2020 AT zengminmin serialintervalandreproductivenumberofcovid19among116infectorinfecteepairsjingzhoucityhubeiprovincechina2020 AT huangjigui serialintervalandreproductivenumberofcovid19among116infectorinfecteepairsjingzhoucityhubeiprovincechina2020 |