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A fractional-order model of COVID-19 considering the fear effect of the media and social networks on the community

Since December 2019, the world has experienced from a virus, known as Covid-19, that is highly transmittable and is now spread worldwide. Many mathematical models and studies have been implemented to work on the infection and transmission risks. Besides the virus's transmission effect, another...

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Autores principales: Bozkurt, Fatma, Yousef, Ali, Abdeljawad, Thabet, Kalinli, Adem, Mdallal, Qasem Al
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier Ltd. 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8429358/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34522071
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2021.111403
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author Bozkurt, Fatma
Yousef, Ali
Abdeljawad, Thabet
Kalinli, Adem
Mdallal, Qasem Al
author_facet Bozkurt, Fatma
Yousef, Ali
Abdeljawad, Thabet
Kalinli, Adem
Mdallal, Qasem Al
author_sort Bozkurt, Fatma
collection PubMed
description Since December 2019, the world has experienced from a virus, known as Covid-19, that is highly transmittable and is now spread worldwide. Many mathematical models and studies have been implemented to work on the infection and transmission risks. Besides the virus's transmission effect, another discussion appears in the community: the fear effect. People who have never heard about coronavirus, face every day uncertain and different information regarding the effect of the virus and the daily death rates from sources like the media, the medical institutions or organizations. Thus, the fear of the virus in the community can possibly reach the point that people become scared and confused about information polluted from different networks with long-term trend discussions. In this work, we use the Routh-Hurwitz Criteria to analyze the local stability of two essential critical points: the disease-free and the co-existing critical point. Using the discretization process, our analysis have shown that one should distinguish between the spread of “awareness” or “fear” in the community through the media and others to control the virus's transmission. Finally, we conclude our theoretical findings with numerical simulations.
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spelling pubmed-84293582021-09-10 A fractional-order model of COVID-19 considering the fear effect of the media and social networks on the community Bozkurt, Fatma Yousef, Ali Abdeljawad, Thabet Kalinli, Adem Mdallal, Qasem Al Chaos Solitons Fractals Article Since December 2019, the world has experienced from a virus, known as Covid-19, that is highly transmittable and is now spread worldwide. Many mathematical models and studies have been implemented to work on the infection and transmission risks. Besides the virus's transmission effect, another discussion appears in the community: the fear effect. People who have never heard about coronavirus, face every day uncertain and different information regarding the effect of the virus and the daily death rates from sources like the media, the medical institutions or organizations. Thus, the fear of the virus in the community can possibly reach the point that people become scared and confused about information polluted from different networks with long-term trend discussions. In this work, we use the Routh-Hurwitz Criteria to analyze the local stability of two essential critical points: the disease-free and the co-existing critical point. Using the discretization process, our analysis have shown that one should distinguish between the spread of “awareness” or “fear” in the community through the media and others to control the virus's transmission. Finally, we conclude our theoretical findings with numerical simulations. Elsevier Ltd. 2021-11 2021-09-10 /pmc/articles/PMC8429358/ /pubmed/34522071 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2021.111403 Text en © 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Bozkurt, Fatma
Yousef, Ali
Abdeljawad, Thabet
Kalinli, Adem
Mdallal, Qasem Al
A fractional-order model of COVID-19 considering the fear effect of the media and social networks on the community
title A fractional-order model of COVID-19 considering the fear effect of the media and social networks on the community
title_full A fractional-order model of COVID-19 considering the fear effect of the media and social networks on the community
title_fullStr A fractional-order model of COVID-19 considering the fear effect of the media and social networks on the community
title_full_unstemmed A fractional-order model of COVID-19 considering the fear effect of the media and social networks on the community
title_short A fractional-order model of COVID-19 considering the fear effect of the media and social networks on the community
title_sort fractional-order model of covid-19 considering the fear effect of the media and social networks on the community
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8429358/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34522071
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2021.111403
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