Positive association between the ratio of triglycerides to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and diabetes incidence in Korean adults

BACKGROUND: Insulin resistance is associated with the incidence of diabetes and cardiovascular diseases such as myocardial infarction. The ratio of triglycerides (TG) to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) (TG/HDL-C ratio) is positively correlated with insulin resistance. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between the TG/HDL-C ratio and the incidence of diabetes in Korean adults. METHODS: This retrospective study used data from the National Health Insurance Service-National Health Screening Cohort. The TG/HDL-C ratio was divided into three tertiles, the T(1), T(2), and T(3) groups, based on sex. We estimated the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for diabetes using multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses. RESULTS: A total of 80,693 subjects aged between 40 and 79 years were enrolled. The median follow-up period was 5.9 years. The estimated cumulative incidence of diabetes in the T(1), T(2), and T(3) groups was 5.94%, 8.23%, and 13.50%, respectively, in men and 4.12%, 4.72%, and 6.85%, respectively, in women. Compared to T(1), the fully adjusted HRs (95% CIs) of the T(2) and T(3) groups for new-onset diabetes were 1.17 (1.06–1.30) and 1.47 (1.34–1.62), respectively, in men and 1.20 (1.02–1.42) and 1.52 (1.30–1.78), respectively, in women. CONCLUSIONS: Increased TG/HDL-C ratio was significantly associated with a higher risk of new-onset diabetes in both sexes. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12933-021-01377-5.