Cargando…
Specific Risk Factors for Fatal Outcome in Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients: Results from a European Multicenter Study
(1) Background: The aim of our study was to identify specific risk factors for fatal outcome in critically ill COVID-19 patients. (2) Methods: Our data set consisted of 840 patients enclosed in the LEOSS registry. Using lasso regression for variable selection, a multifactorial logistic regression mo...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
---|---|
Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
MDPI
2021
|
Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8432209/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34501301 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/jcm10173855 |
_version_ | 1783751111052623872 |
---|---|
author | Meintrup, David Borgmann, Stefan Seidl, Karlheinz Stecher, Melanie Jakob, Carolin E. M. Pilgram, Lisa Spinner, Christoph D. Rieg, Siegbert Isberner, Nora Hower, Martin Vehreschild, Maria Göpel, Siri Hanses, Frank Nowak-Machen, Martina |
author_facet | Meintrup, David Borgmann, Stefan Seidl, Karlheinz Stecher, Melanie Jakob, Carolin E. M. Pilgram, Lisa Spinner, Christoph D. Rieg, Siegbert Isberner, Nora Hower, Martin Vehreschild, Maria Göpel, Siri Hanses, Frank Nowak-Machen, Martina |
author_sort | Meintrup, David |
collection | PubMed |
description | (1) Background: The aim of our study was to identify specific risk factors for fatal outcome in critically ill COVID-19 patients. (2) Methods: Our data set consisted of 840 patients enclosed in the LEOSS registry. Using lasso regression for variable selection, a multifactorial logistic regression model was fitted to the response variable survival. Specific risk factors and their odds ratios were derived. A nomogram was developed as a graphical representation of the model. (3) Results: 14 variables were identified as independent factors contributing to the risk of death for critically ill COVID-19 patients: age (OR 1.08, CI 1.06–1.10), cardiovascular disease (OR 1.64, CI 1.06–2.55), pulmonary disease (OR 1.87, CI 1.16–3.03), baseline Statin treatment (0.54, CI 0.33–0.87), oxygen saturation (unit = 1%, OR 0.94, CI 0.92–0.96), leukocytes (unit 1000/ [Formula: see text] L, OR 1.04, CI 1.01–1.07), lymphocytes (unit 100/ [Formula: see text] L, OR 0.96, CI 0.94–0.99), platelets (unit 100,000/ [Formula: see text] L, OR 0.70, CI 0.62–0.80), procalcitonin (unit ng/mL, OR 1.11, CI 1.05–1.18), kidney failure (OR 1.68, CI 1.05–2.70), congestive heart failure (OR 2.62, CI 1.11–6.21), severe liver failure (OR 4.93, CI 1.94–12.52), and a quick SOFA score of 3 (OR 1.78, CI 1.14–2.78). The nomogram graphically displays the importance of these 14 factors for mortality. (4) Conclusions: There are risk factors that are specific to the subpopulation of critically ill COVID-19 patients. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8432209 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | MDPI |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-84322092021-09-11 Specific Risk Factors for Fatal Outcome in Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients: Results from a European Multicenter Study Meintrup, David Borgmann, Stefan Seidl, Karlheinz Stecher, Melanie Jakob, Carolin E. M. Pilgram, Lisa Spinner, Christoph D. Rieg, Siegbert Isberner, Nora Hower, Martin Vehreschild, Maria Göpel, Siri Hanses, Frank Nowak-Machen, Martina J Clin Med Article (1) Background: The aim of our study was to identify specific risk factors for fatal outcome in critically ill COVID-19 patients. (2) Methods: Our data set consisted of 840 patients enclosed in the LEOSS registry. Using lasso regression for variable selection, a multifactorial logistic regression model was fitted to the response variable survival. Specific risk factors and their odds ratios were derived. A nomogram was developed as a graphical representation of the model. (3) Results: 14 variables were identified as independent factors contributing to the risk of death for critically ill COVID-19 patients: age (OR 1.08, CI 1.06–1.10), cardiovascular disease (OR 1.64, CI 1.06–2.55), pulmonary disease (OR 1.87, CI 1.16–3.03), baseline Statin treatment (0.54, CI 0.33–0.87), oxygen saturation (unit = 1%, OR 0.94, CI 0.92–0.96), leukocytes (unit 1000/ [Formula: see text] L, OR 1.04, CI 1.01–1.07), lymphocytes (unit 100/ [Formula: see text] L, OR 0.96, CI 0.94–0.99), platelets (unit 100,000/ [Formula: see text] L, OR 0.70, CI 0.62–0.80), procalcitonin (unit ng/mL, OR 1.11, CI 1.05–1.18), kidney failure (OR 1.68, CI 1.05–2.70), congestive heart failure (OR 2.62, CI 1.11–6.21), severe liver failure (OR 4.93, CI 1.94–12.52), and a quick SOFA score of 3 (OR 1.78, CI 1.14–2.78). The nomogram graphically displays the importance of these 14 factors for mortality. (4) Conclusions: There are risk factors that are specific to the subpopulation of critically ill COVID-19 patients. MDPI 2021-08-27 /pmc/articles/PMC8432209/ /pubmed/34501301 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/jcm10173855 Text en © 2021 by the authors. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). |
spellingShingle | Article Meintrup, David Borgmann, Stefan Seidl, Karlheinz Stecher, Melanie Jakob, Carolin E. M. Pilgram, Lisa Spinner, Christoph D. Rieg, Siegbert Isberner, Nora Hower, Martin Vehreschild, Maria Göpel, Siri Hanses, Frank Nowak-Machen, Martina Specific Risk Factors for Fatal Outcome in Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients: Results from a European Multicenter Study |
title | Specific Risk Factors for Fatal Outcome in Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients: Results from a European Multicenter Study |
title_full | Specific Risk Factors for Fatal Outcome in Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients: Results from a European Multicenter Study |
title_fullStr | Specific Risk Factors for Fatal Outcome in Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients: Results from a European Multicenter Study |
title_full_unstemmed | Specific Risk Factors for Fatal Outcome in Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients: Results from a European Multicenter Study |
title_short | Specific Risk Factors for Fatal Outcome in Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients: Results from a European Multicenter Study |
title_sort | specific risk factors for fatal outcome in critically ill covid-19 patients: results from a european multicenter study |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8432209/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34501301 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/jcm10173855 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT meintrupdavid specificriskfactorsforfataloutcomeincriticallyillcovid19patientsresultsfromaeuropeanmulticenterstudy AT borgmannstefan specificriskfactorsforfataloutcomeincriticallyillcovid19patientsresultsfromaeuropeanmulticenterstudy AT seidlkarlheinz specificriskfactorsforfataloutcomeincriticallyillcovid19patientsresultsfromaeuropeanmulticenterstudy AT stechermelanie specificriskfactorsforfataloutcomeincriticallyillcovid19patientsresultsfromaeuropeanmulticenterstudy AT jakobcarolinem specificriskfactorsforfataloutcomeincriticallyillcovid19patientsresultsfromaeuropeanmulticenterstudy AT pilgramlisa specificriskfactorsforfataloutcomeincriticallyillcovid19patientsresultsfromaeuropeanmulticenterstudy AT spinnerchristophd specificriskfactorsforfataloutcomeincriticallyillcovid19patientsresultsfromaeuropeanmulticenterstudy AT riegsiegbert specificriskfactorsforfataloutcomeincriticallyillcovid19patientsresultsfromaeuropeanmulticenterstudy AT isbernernora specificriskfactorsforfataloutcomeincriticallyillcovid19patientsresultsfromaeuropeanmulticenterstudy AT howermartin specificriskfactorsforfataloutcomeincriticallyillcovid19patientsresultsfromaeuropeanmulticenterstudy AT vehreschildmaria specificriskfactorsforfataloutcomeincriticallyillcovid19patientsresultsfromaeuropeanmulticenterstudy AT gopelsiri specificriskfactorsforfataloutcomeincriticallyillcovid19patientsresultsfromaeuropeanmulticenterstudy AT hansesfrank specificriskfactorsforfataloutcomeincriticallyillcovid19patientsresultsfromaeuropeanmulticenterstudy AT nowakmachenmartina specificriskfactorsforfataloutcomeincriticallyillcovid19patientsresultsfromaeuropeanmulticenterstudy |