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Specific Risk Factors for Fatal Outcome in Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients: Results from a European Multicenter Study

(1) Background: The aim of our study was to identify specific risk factors for fatal outcome in critically ill COVID-19 patients. (2) Methods: Our data set consisted of 840 patients enclosed in the LEOSS registry. Using lasso regression for variable selection, a multifactorial logistic regression mo...

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Autores principales: Meintrup, David, Borgmann, Stefan, Seidl, Karlheinz, Stecher, Melanie, Jakob, Carolin E. M., Pilgram, Lisa, Spinner, Christoph D., Rieg, Siegbert, Isberner, Nora, Hower, Martin, Vehreschild, Maria, Göpel, Siri, Hanses, Frank, Nowak-Machen, Martina
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: MDPI 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8432209/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34501301
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/jcm10173855
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author Meintrup, David
Borgmann, Stefan
Seidl, Karlheinz
Stecher, Melanie
Jakob, Carolin E. M.
Pilgram, Lisa
Spinner, Christoph D.
Rieg, Siegbert
Isberner, Nora
Hower, Martin
Vehreschild, Maria
Göpel, Siri
Hanses, Frank
Nowak-Machen, Martina
author_facet Meintrup, David
Borgmann, Stefan
Seidl, Karlheinz
Stecher, Melanie
Jakob, Carolin E. M.
Pilgram, Lisa
Spinner, Christoph D.
Rieg, Siegbert
Isberner, Nora
Hower, Martin
Vehreschild, Maria
Göpel, Siri
Hanses, Frank
Nowak-Machen, Martina
author_sort Meintrup, David
collection PubMed
description (1) Background: The aim of our study was to identify specific risk factors for fatal outcome in critically ill COVID-19 patients. (2) Methods: Our data set consisted of 840 patients enclosed in the LEOSS registry. Using lasso regression for variable selection, a multifactorial logistic regression model was fitted to the response variable survival. Specific risk factors and their odds ratios were derived. A nomogram was developed as a graphical representation of the model. (3) Results: 14 variables were identified as independent factors contributing to the risk of death for critically ill COVID-19 patients: age (OR 1.08, CI 1.06–1.10), cardiovascular disease (OR 1.64, CI 1.06–2.55), pulmonary disease (OR 1.87, CI 1.16–3.03), baseline Statin treatment (0.54, CI 0.33–0.87), oxygen saturation (unit = 1%, OR 0.94, CI 0.92–0.96), leukocytes (unit 1000/ [Formula: see text] L, OR 1.04, CI 1.01–1.07), lymphocytes (unit 100/ [Formula: see text] L, OR 0.96, CI 0.94–0.99), platelets (unit 100,000/ [Formula: see text] L, OR 0.70, CI 0.62–0.80), procalcitonin (unit ng/mL, OR 1.11, CI 1.05–1.18), kidney failure (OR 1.68, CI 1.05–2.70), congestive heart failure (OR 2.62, CI 1.11–6.21), severe liver failure (OR 4.93, CI 1.94–12.52), and a quick SOFA score of 3 (OR 1.78, CI 1.14–2.78). The nomogram graphically displays the importance of these 14 factors for mortality. (4) Conclusions: There are risk factors that are specific to the subpopulation of critically ill COVID-19 patients.
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spelling pubmed-84322092021-09-11 Specific Risk Factors for Fatal Outcome in Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients: Results from a European Multicenter Study Meintrup, David Borgmann, Stefan Seidl, Karlheinz Stecher, Melanie Jakob, Carolin E. M. Pilgram, Lisa Spinner, Christoph D. Rieg, Siegbert Isberner, Nora Hower, Martin Vehreschild, Maria Göpel, Siri Hanses, Frank Nowak-Machen, Martina J Clin Med Article (1) Background: The aim of our study was to identify specific risk factors for fatal outcome in critically ill COVID-19 patients. (2) Methods: Our data set consisted of 840 patients enclosed in the LEOSS registry. Using lasso regression for variable selection, a multifactorial logistic regression model was fitted to the response variable survival. Specific risk factors and their odds ratios were derived. A nomogram was developed as a graphical representation of the model. (3) Results: 14 variables were identified as independent factors contributing to the risk of death for critically ill COVID-19 patients: age (OR 1.08, CI 1.06–1.10), cardiovascular disease (OR 1.64, CI 1.06–2.55), pulmonary disease (OR 1.87, CI 1.16–3.03), baseline Statin treatment (0.54, CI 0.33–0.87), oxygen saturation (unit = 1%, OR 0.94, CI 0.92–0.96), leukocytes (unit 1000/ [Formula: see text] L, OR 1.04, CI 1.01–1.07), lymphocytes (unit 100/ [Formula: see text] L, OR 0.96, CI 0.94–0.99), platelets (unit 100,000/ [Formula: see text] L, OR 0.70, CI 0.62–0.80), procalcitonin (unit ng/mL, OR 1.11, CI 1.05–1.18), kidney failure (OR 1.68, CI 1.05–2.70), congestive heart failure (OR 2.62, CI 1.11–6.21), severe liver failure (OR 4.93, CI 1.94–12.52), and a quick SOFA score of 3 (OR 1.78, CI 1.14–2.78). The nomogram graphically displays the importance of these 14 factors for mortality. (4) Conclusions: There are risk factors that are specific to the subpopulation of critically ill COVID-19 patients. MDPI 2021-08-27 /pmc/articles/PMC8432209/ /pubmed/34501301 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/jcm10173855 Text en © 2021 by the authors. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Article
Meintrup, David
Borgmann, Stefan
Seidl, Karlheinz
Stecher, Melanie
Jakob, Carolin E. M.
Pilgram, Lisa
Spinner, Christoph D.
Rieg, Siegbert
Isberner, Nora
Hower, Martin
Vehreschild, Maria
Göpel, Siri
Hanses, Frank
Nowak-Machen, Martina
Specific Risk Factors for Fatal Outcome in Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients: Results from a European Multicenter Study
title Specific Risk Factors for Fatal Outcome in Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients: Results from a European Multicenter Study
title_full Specific Risk Factors for Fatal Outcome in Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients: Results from a European Multicenter Study
title_fullStr Specific Risk Factors for Fatal Outcome in Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients: Results from a European Multicenter Study
title_full_unstemmed Specific Risk Factors for Fatal Outcome in Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients: Results from a European Multicenter Study
title_short Specific Risk Factors for Fatal Outcome in Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients: Results from a European Multicenter Study
title_sort specific risk factors for fatal outcome in critically ill covid-19 patients: results from a european multicenter study
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8432209/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34501301
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/jcm10173855
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