Trade-offs between individual and ensemble forecasts of an emerging infectious disease

Probabilistic forecasts play an indispensable role in answering questions about the spread of newly emerged pathogens. However, uncertainties about the epidemiology of emerging pathogens can make it difficult to choose among alternative model structures and assumptions. To assess the potential for u...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Oidtman, Rachel J., Omodei, Elisa, Kraemer, Moritz U. G., Castañeda-Orjuela, Carlos A., Cruz-Rivera, Erica, Misnaza-Castrillón, Sandra, Cifuentes, Myriam Patricia, Rincon, Luz Emilse, Cañon, Viviana, Alarcon, Pedro de, España, Guido, Huber, John H., Hill, Sarah C., Barker, Christopher M., Johansson, Michael A., Manore, Carrie A., Reiner, Jr., Robert C., Rodriguez-Barraquer, Isabel, Siraj, Amir S., Frias-Martinez, Enrique, García-Herranz, Manuel, Perkins, T. Alex
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2021
Materias:
Article
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8433472/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34508077
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-25695-0

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