Early assessment of the relationship between the COVID-19 pandemic and births in high-income countries

Drawing on past pandemics, scholars have suggested that the COVID-19 pandemic will bring about fertility decline. Evidence from actual birth data has so far been scarce. This brief report uses data on vital statistics from a selection of high-income countries, including the United States. The pandem...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Aassve, Arnstein, Cavalli, Nicolò, Mencarini, Letizia, Plach, Samuel, Sanders, Seth
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: National Academy of Sciences 2021
Materias:
Social Sciences
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8433569/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34462356
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2105709118
Descripción
Sumario:Drawing on past pandemics, scholars have suggested that the COVID-19 pandemic will bring about fertility decline. Evidence from actual birth data has so far been scarce. This brief report uses data on vital statistics from a selection of high-income countries, including the United States. The pandemic has been accompanied by a significant drop in crude birth rates beyond that predicted by past trends in 7 out of the 22 countries considered, with particularly strong declines in southern Europe: Italy (−9.1%), Spain (−8.4%), and Portugal (−6.6%). Substantial heterogeneities are, however, observed.

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