Early assessment of the relationship between the COVID-19 pandemic and births in high-income countries

Drawing on past pandemics, scholars have suggested that the COVID-19 pandemic will bring about fertility decline. Evidence from actual birth data has so far been scarce. This brief report uses data on vital statistics from a selection of high-income countries, including the United States. The pandem...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Aassve, Arnstein, Cavalli, Nicolò, Mencarini, Letizia, Plach, Samuel, Sanders, Seth
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: National Academy of Sciences 2021
Materias:
Social Sciences
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8433569/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34462356
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2105709118
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author Aassve, Arnstein
Cavalli, Nicolò
Mencarini, Letizia
Plach, Samuel
Sanders, Seth
author_facet Aassve, Arnstein
Cavalli, Nicolò
Mencarini, Letizia
Plach, Samuel
Sanders, Seth
author_sort Aassve, Arnstein
collection PubMed
description Drawing on past pandemics, scholars have suggested that the COVID-19 pandemic will bring about fertility decline. Evidence from actual birth data has so far been scarce. This brief report uses data on vital statistics from a selection of high-income countries, including the United States. The pandemic has been accompanied by a significant drop in crude birth rates beyond that predicted by past trends in 7 out of the 22 countries considered, with particularly strong declines in southern Europe: Italy (−9.1%), Spain (−8.4%), and Portugal (−6.6%). Substantial heterogeneities are, however, observed.
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spelling pubmed-84335692021-09-28 Early assessment of the relationship between the COVID-19 pandemic and births in high-income countries Aassve, Arnstein Cavalli, Nicolò Mencarini, Letizia Plach, Samuel Sanders, Seth Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A Social Sciences Drawing on past pandemics, scholars have suggested that the COVID-19 pandemic will bring about fertility decline. Evidence from actual birth data has so far been scarce. This brief report uses data on vital statistics from a selection of high-income countries, including the United States. The pandemic has been accompanied by a significant drop in crude birth rates beyond that predicted by past trends in 7 out of the 22 countries considered, with particularly strong declines in southern Europe: Italy (−9.1%), Spain (−8.4%), and Portugal (−6.6%). Substantial heterogeneities are, however, observed. National Academy of Sciences 2021-09-07 2021-08-30 /pmc/articles/PMC8433569/ /pubmed/34462356 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2105709118 Text en Copyright © 2021 the Author(s). Published by PNAS. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/This open access article is distributed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License 4.0 (CC BY-NC-ND) (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Social Sciences
Aassve, Arnstein
Cavalli, Nicolò
Mencarini, Letizia
Plach, Samuel
Sanders, Seth
Early assessment of the relationship between the COVID-19 pandemic and births in high-income countries
title Early assessment of the relationship between the COVID-19 pandemic and births in high-income countries
title_full Early assessment of the relationship between the COVID-19 pandemic and births in high-income countries
title_fullStr Early assessment of the relationship between the COVID-19 pandemic and births in high-income countries
title_full_unstemmed Early assessment of the relationship between the COVID-19 pandemic and births in high-income countries
title_short Early assessment of the relationship between the COVID-19 pandemic and births in high-income countries
title_sort early assessment of the relationship between the covid-19 pandemic and births in high-income countries
topic Social Sciences
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8433569/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34462356
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2105709118
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