Prognostic value of myocardial perfusion scintigraphy in asymptomatic patients with diabetes mellitus at high cardiovascular risk: 5-year follow-up of the prospective multicenter BARDOT trial

BACKGROUND: The Basel Asymptomatic High-Risk Diabetics’ Outcome Trial (BARDOT) demonstrated that asymptomatic diabetic patients with an abnormal myocardial perfusion scintigraphy (MPS) were at increased risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) at 2-year follow-up. It remains unclear whether this finding holds true even for a longer follow-up. METHODS: Four hundred patients with type 2 diabetes, neither history nor symptoms of coronary artery disease (CAD), were evaluated clinically and with MPS. Patients were followed up for 5 years. Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) were defined as all-cause death, myocardial infarction, or late coronary revascularization. RESULTS: At baseline, an abnormal MPS (SSS ≥ 4 or SDS ≥ 2) was found in 87 of 400 patients (22%). MACE within 5 years occurred in 14 patients with abnormal MPS (16.1%) and in 22 with normal scan (1.7%), p = 0.009; 15 deaths were recorded. Patients with completely normal MPS (SSS and SDS = 0) had lower rates of MACEs than patients with abnormal scans (2.5% vs. 7.0%, p = 0.032). Patients with abnormal MPS who had undergone revascularization had a lower mortality rate and a better event-free survival from MI and revascularization than patients with abnormal MPS who had either undergone medical therapy only or could not be revascularized (p = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: MPS may have prognostic value in asymptomatic diabetic patients at high cardiovascular risk over a follow-up period of 5 years. Patients with completely normal MPS have a low event rate and may not need retesting within 5 years. Patients with an abnormal MPS have higher event rates and may benefit from a combined medical and revascularization approach. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00259-021-05349-5.