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Nonlinear Dynamical Analysis and Optimal Control Strategies for a New Rumor Spreading Model with Comprehensive Interventions

In the current era, information dissemination is more convenient, the harm of rumors is more serious than ever. At the beginning of 2020, COVID-19 is a biochemical weapon made by a laboratory, which has caused a very bad impact on the world. It is very important to control the spread of these untrue...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Li, Tingting, Guo, Youming
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer International Publishing 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8442825/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34539295
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s12346-021-00520-7
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author Li, Tingting
Guo, Youming
author_facet Li, Tingting
Guo, Youming
author_sort Li, Tingting
collection PubMed
description In the current era, information dissemination is more convenient, the harm of rumors is more serious than ever. At the beginning of 2020, COVID-19 is a biochemical weapon made by a laboratory, which has caused a very bad impact on the world. It is very important to control the spread of these untrue statements to reduce their impact on people’s lives. In this paper, a new rumor spreading model with comprehensive interventions (background detection, public education, official debunking, legal punishment) is proposed for qualitative and quantitative analysis. The basic reproduction number with important biological significance is calculated, and the stability of equilibria is proved. Through the optimal control theory, the expression of optimal control pairs is obtained. In the following numerical simulation, the optimal control under 11 control strategies are simulated. Through the data analysis of incremental cost-effectiveness ratio and infection averted ratio of all control strategies, if we consider the control problem from different perspectives, we will get different optimal control strategies. Our results provide a flexible control strategy for the security management department.
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spelling pubmed-84428252021-09-15 Nonlinear Dynamical Analysis and Optimal Control Strategies for a New Rumor Spreading Model with Comprehensive Interventions Li, Tingting Guo, Youming Qual Theory Dyn Syst Article In the current era, information dissemination is more convenient, the harm of rumors is more serious than ever. At the beginning of 2020, COVID-19 is a biochemical weapon made by a laboratory, which has caused a very bad impact on the world. It is very important to control the spread of these untrue statements to reduce their impact on people’s lives. In this paper, a new rumor spreading model with comprehensive interventions (background detection, public education, official debunking, legal punishment) is proposed for qualitative and quantitative analysis. The basic reproduction number with important biological significance is calculated, and the stability of equilibria is proved. Through the optimal control theory, the expression of optimal control pairs is obtained. In the following numerical simulation, the optimal control under 11 control strategies are simulated. Through the data analysis of incremental cost-effectiveness ratio and infection averted ratio of all control strategies, if we consider the control problem from different perspectives, we will get different optimal control strategies. Our results provide a flexible control strategy for the security management department. Springer International Publishing 2021-09-15 2021 /pmc/articles/PMC8442825/ /pubmed/34539295 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s12346-021-00520-7 Text en © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2021 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Article
Li, Tingting
Guo, Youming
Nonlinear Dynamical Analysis and Optimal Control Strategies for a New Rumor Spreading Model with Comprehensive Interventions
title Nonlinear Dynamical Analysis and Optimal Control Strategies for a New Rumor Spreading Model with Comprehensive Interventions
title_full Nonlinear Dynamical Analysis and Optimal Control Strategies for a New Rumor Spreading Model with Comprehensive Interventions
title_fullStr Nonlinear Dynamical Analysis and Optimal Control Strategies for a New Rumor Spreading Model with Comprehensive Interventions
title_full_unstemmed Nonlinear Dynamical Analysis and Optimal Control Strategies for a New Rumor Spreading Model with Comprehensive Interventions
title_short Nonlinear Dynamical Analysis and Optimal Control Strategies for a New Rumor Spreading Model with Comprehensive Interventions
title_sort nonlinear dynamical analysis and optimal control strategies for a new rumor spreading model with comprehensive interventions
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8442825/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34539295
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s12346-021-00520-7
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