Magnetic resonance imaging radiomics signatures for predicting endocrine resistance in hormone receptor-positive non-metastatic breast cancer

BACKGROUND: One-third of patients with hormone receptor (HR)-positive breast cancers fail to respond to hormone therapy, and some patients even progress within two years of adjuvant endocrine therapy (ET) toward primary endocrine resistance. However, there is no effective way to predict endocrine resistance. OBJECTIVE: To build a model that incorporates the radiomic signature of pretreatment magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) with clinical information to predict endocrine resistance. METHODS: Clinical data of non-metastatic breast cancer patients diagnosed between May 1, 2015 and December 31, 2018 and preoperative dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (DCE-MRI) were retrospectively collected from three hospitals in China. The significant clinicopathological characteristics and radiomic signatures were included in multivariable logistic regression to establish a combined model to predict endocrine resistance in the training set, and validate the internal and external validation set. RESULTS: A total of 744 female non-metastatic breast cancer patients from three hospitals in China were included. In the training cohort, the AUC of the Radiomic-Clinical combined model to predict endocrine resistance was 0.975, which was higher than clinical model (0.849), IHC4 model (0.682) and similar as radiomic model (0.941). Also, the AUC of the combined model in the internal (0.921) and external validation cohort (0.955) were higher than clinical model and IHC4 model. The sensitivity of combined model was higher than radiomic alone, and got the best thresholding of the AUC. CONCLUSION: This study developed and validated a pretreatment multiparametric MRI-based radiomic-clinical combined model and showed good performance in predicting endocrine resistance.