Risk Factors and Prognosis of New-Onset Chronic Kidney Disease Following Orthotopic Liver Transplantation: A Retrospective Case-Control Study

BACKGROUND: We have undertaken this investigation to explore the perioperative risk factors of new-onset chronic kidney disease (NOCKD) after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT), and to provide an early prediction model for the screening of NOCKD high-risk populations. MATERIAL/METHODS: A retrospective case-control study was performed in adult recipients who received OLT in our center between January 2018 and January 2020. Perioperative data were collected using the center’s electronic medical record system. Logistics regression analysis was used to determine risk factors for NOCKD within 1 year following OLT. Kaplan-Meier and log-rank tests were used to evaluate the 1-year survival of recipients with NOCKD or without NOCKD. RESULTS: A total of 174 patients were included in this study, and 29 patients developed NOCKD after OLT. Logistic multivariate regression analysis showed that preoperative diabetes, high model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI), and postoperative renal replacement therapy (RRT) were independent risk factors for NOCKD 1 year after OLT. The 1-year survival rate of NOCKD recipients waas significantly lower than that of patients who did not receive NOCKD. CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes mellitus, MELD score, postoperative AKI, and requirement for postoperative RRT are independent risk factors for NOCKD after OLT, which may have great potential for personalized decision making and predicting the 1-year postoperative mortality of the recipient.