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Predicting Mortality by Causes in the Republic of Bashkortostan Using the Lee–Carter Model
This paper analyzes and predicts age-sex mortality rates by causes in the Republic of Bashkortostan. The following methods of analysis were used: the Lee–Carter model, singular value decomposition, and ARIMA-modeling. The forecast results suggest that by 2025 the Republic of Bashkortostan will have...
Autores principales: | , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Pleiades Publishing
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8460060/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34584398 http://dx.doi.org/10.1134/S1075700721050063 |