Risk Factors for Metachronous Isolated Peritoneal Metastasis after Preoperative Chemotherapy and Potentially Curative Gastric Cancer Resection: Results from the CRITICS Trial

SIMPLE SUMMARY: Around 20% of gastric cancer patients develop peritoneal metastasis after preoperative chemotherapy and curative surgery. Patients with peritoneal metastasis as a single site of metastasis may potentially benefit from prophylactic strategies. In this post-hoc analysis of the international phase III CRITICS trial, we aim to identify factors that can distinguish patients at high risk for developing peritoneal metastasis as a single site. Diffuse or mixed histological subtype, tumors with serosal involvement (ypT4) and advanced lymph node stage (ypN3 or a tumor positive lymph node ratio >20%) were independent risk factors for isolated peritoneal metastasis after preoperative chemotherapy and curative surgery. The combination of these risk factors identifies a subgroup that may benefit from treatment strategies that aim to prevent peritoneal metastasis. ABSTRACT: Gastric cancer (GC) patients at high risk of developing peritoneal metastasis (PM) as a single site of metastasis after curative treatment may be candidates for adjuvant prophylactic strategies. Here we investigated risk factors for metachronous isolated PM in patients who were treated in the CRITICS trial (NCT00407186). Univariable and multivariable analyses on both metachronous isolated PM and ‘other events’, i.e., (concurrent) distant metastasis, locoregional recurrence or death, were performed using a competing risk model and summarized by cumulative incidences. Isolated PM occurred in 64 of the 606 (11%) included patients. Diffuse or mixed histological subtype, ypT4 tumor stage and LN(high) (ypN3 lymph node stage or a lymph node ratio >20%) were independent risk factors for isolated PM in both univariable and multivariable analyses. Likewise, LN(high) was an independent risk factor for ‘other events’. Patients with tumors who were positive for all three independent risk factors had the highest two-year cumulative incidence of 43% for isolated PM development. In conclusion, diffuse or mixed histological subtype, ypT4 and LN(high) were identified as independent risk factors for isolated PM in patients treated with preoperative chemotherapy followed by surgical resection. The combination of these factors may identify a subgroup that may benefit from PM-preventing treatment strategies.