Pretreatment Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Associated with Tumor Recurrence and Survival in Patients Achieving a Pathological Complete Response Following Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy for Rectal Cancer

SIMPLE SUMMARY: Patients with locally advanced rectal cancer who achieve a pathological complete response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy have been associated with excellent long-term prognosis. However, approximately 9% to 12% of patients with a pathological complete response have been reported to experience tumor recurrence and thereby experience poor outcomes. Identifying predictors of recurrence in patients with a pathological complete response is crucial for precise medicine. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio is a widely available biomarker of systemic inflammation and affects colorectal prognosis. The study aimed to assess the association between neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and oncological outcomes in rectal cancer patients exhibiting a pCR. We found that a pretreatment high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (≥3.2) was an independent predictor of reduced overall survival and disease-free survival in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer who achieved a pathological complete response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. Our findings demonstrate that the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio helps identify patients with a pathological complete response who are at high risk of tumor relapse and might facilitate patient selection for precise medicine. ABSTRACT: The clinical influence of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in predicting outcomes in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) who achieve a pathological complete response (pCR) to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NACRT) has seldom been investigated. We retrospectively recruited 102 patients with LARC who achieved a pCR to NACRT and the association of NLR status with survival and tumor recurrence in the patients was analyzed. Thirteen patients (12.7%) developed tumor recurrence. A high NLR (≥3.2) was significantly associated with tumor recurrence (p = 0.039). The 5-year OS rates in patients with a low NLR and patients with a high NLR were 95.1% and 77.7%, respectively (p = 0.014); the 5-year DFS rates in patients with low NLR and patients with a high NLR were 90.6% and 71.3%, respectively (p = 0.031). The Cox proportional hazards model indicated that an NLR of ≥3.2 was an independent poor prognostic factor for DFS (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.12, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.06–9.46, p = 0.048) and OS (HR = 6.96, 95% CI = 1.53–35.51, p = 0.013). A pretreatment high NLR (≥3.2) was a promising predictor of reduced OS and DFS in patients with LARC who achieved a pCR to NACRT.