Prevalence and Metabolic Predictors for Early Diagnosed Prediabetes in Women with Previous Gestational Diabetes: Observational Cohort Study

INTRODUCTION: Women with previous gestational diabetes (pGD) are at higher risk of prediabetes (PD) after delivery. The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence of and predictors for PD among women with pGD. METHODS: The study included 186 women with pGD treated by lifestyle modification. After delivery, the women were divided into group A (n = 80) with PD and group B (n = 106) with normal glucose tolerance (NGT), defined by the results of the 2-h oral glucose tolerance test at 4–12 weeks after delivery. We recorded age, body mass index (BMI) at conception and after delivery, fasting glucose (FG), glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), total cholesterol (TC), triglycerides (Tg), low density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-c), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-c) and the Tg/HDL-c ratio measured in the third trimester of pregnancy. RESULTS: Of the 186 women with pGD enrolled in the study, 43% showed prediabetes at 4–12 weeks after delivery, with 13.9% of these women showing impaired FG (IFG), 12.9% showing impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) and 16.2% with IFG/IGT. The groups differed in terms of age and BMI at conception and after delivery. In the third trimester of pregnancy, HbA1c was higher in women in group A than in those in group B (mean ± standard deviation: 5.6 ± 0.4 vs. 5.2 ± 0.3%; p < 0.001), while FG was comparable. Compared to women in group B, women in group A had higher TC (7.1 ± 0.8 vs. 6.6 ± 1.0 mmol/L), Tg (2.7 ± 0.9 vs. 2.1 ± 0.6 mmol/L) and LDL-c (4.7 ± 0.8 vs. 4.3 ± 1.0 mmol/L) (all p < 0.001), lower HDL-c (1.0 ± 0.2 vs. 1.4 ± 1.0; p < 0.001) and higher median Tg/HDL-c (5.4 [range 4.6–14.3] vs. 4.9 [range 1.1–11.5]; p < 0.001). Univariate analysis found an association between prediabetes and age, BMI at conception and after delivery, HbA1c, TC, LDL-c, HDL-c, Tg and Tg/HDL-c ratio. Of these variables, the multivariate analysis showed age (odds ratio [OR] 1.19; p < 0.001), HbA1c (OR 31.06; p < 0.001), Tg (OR 4.09; p < 0.001) and LDL-c (OR 2.00; p = 0.005) as predictors for prediabetes. CONCLUSION: High prevalence of early diagnosed PD in women with pGD was accompanied by advanced age and higher BMI at conception and after delivery. Moreover, age, HbA1c, Tg and LDL-c were predictors for PD.