Frailty as a predictive factor for survival after liver transplantation, especially for patients with MELD≤15—a prospective study

INTRODUCTION: Frailty has been discussed as a predictor of morbidity and mortality for liver cirrhosis. The aim of our study is to evaluate the role of frailty in liver transplantation, particularly for patients with MELD scores < 15. METHODS: All patients listed for liver transplantation between September 2015 and November 2018 were prospectively included in the study. Frailty was assessed by Fried’s frailty classification. Pre-, intra-, and postoperative data were prospectively recorded. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were performed. The ethical approval of the institutional board review was obtained for the study. RESULTS: There were 114 patients included in the study, and their median MELD score was 16. Of these, 86 patients were defined as frail (75.4%). A total of 62 patients (54.4%) underwent liver transplantation, 11 (17.7%) died postoperatively, and 24 patients (21.0%) died while on the waitlist. All postoperative mortality cases were frail, and only 3 patients (12.5%) were non-frail in the waitlist mortality group. There were 14 patients who had MELD scores of <15 (58.3%). The overall survival of non-frail patients was significantly better than that of frail patients. The multivariate regression analyses identified frailty criteria, including unintended weight loss and low hand grip strength, and platelet count and being married or living in a solid partnership were prognostic factors for survival in all patients. CONCLUSION: The addition of frailty assessment can be beneficial for predicting mortality after liver transplantation, especially in patients with low MELD score. Frail patients on the waitlist have significant risk for mortality even with low MELD score.