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Mathematical modeling applied to epidemics: an overview

This work presents an overview of the evolution of mathematical modeling applied to the context of epidemics and the advances in modeling in epidemiological studies. In fact, mathematical treatments have contributed substantially in the epidemiology area since the formulation of the famous SIR (susc...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Mata, Angélica S., Dourado, Stela M. P.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer International Publishing 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8482738/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40863-021-00268-7
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author Mata, Angélica S.
Dourado, Stela M. P.
author_facet Mata, Angélica S.
Dourado, Stela M. P.
author_sort Mata, Angélica S.
collection PubMed
description This work presents an overview of the evolution of mathematical modeling applied to the context of epidemics and the advances in modeling in epidemiological studies. In fact, mathematical treatments have contributed substantially in the epidemiology area since the formulation of the famous SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) model, in the beginning of the 20th century. We presented the SIR deterministic model and we also showed a more realistic application of this model applying a stochastic approach in complex networks. Nowadays, computational tools, such as big data and complex networks, in addition to mathematical modeling and statistical analysis, have been shown to be essential to understand the developing of the disease and the scale of the emerging outbreak. These issues are fundamental concerns to guide public health policies. Lately, the current pandemic caused by the new coronavirus further enlightened the importance of mathematical modeling associated with computational and statistical tools. For this reason, we intend to bring basic knowledge of mathematical modeling applied to epidemiology to a broad audience. We show the progress of this field of knowledge over the years, as well as the technical part involving several numerical tools.
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spelling pubmed-84827382021-09-30 Mathematical modeling applied to epidemics: an overview Mata, Angélica S. Dourado, Stela M. P. São Paulo J. Math. Sci. Survey This work presents an overview of the evolution of mathematical modeling applied to the context of epidemics and the advances in modeling in epidemiological studies. In fact, mathematical treatments have contributed substantially in the epidemiology area since the formulation of the famous SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) model, in the beginning of the 20th century. We presented the SIR deterministic model and we also showed a more realistic application of this model applying a stochastic approach in complex networks. Nowadays, computational tools, such as big data and complex networks, in addition to mathematical modeling and statistical analysis, have been shown to be essential to understand the developing of the disease and the scale of the emerging outbreak. These issues are fundamental concerns to guide public health policies. Lately, the current pandemic caused by the new coronavirus further enlightened the importance of mathematical modeling associated with computational and statistical tools. For this reason, we intend to bring basic knowledge of mathematical modeling applied to epidemiology to a broad audience. We show the progress of this field of knowledge over the years, as well as the technical part involving several numerical tools. Springer International Publishing 2021-09-30 2021 /pmc/articles/PMC8482738/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40863-021-00268-7 Text en © Instituto de Matemática e Estatística da Universidade de São Paulo 2021 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Survey
Mata, Angélica S.
Dourado, Stela M. P.
Mathematical modeling applied to epidemics: an overview
title Mathematical modeling applied to epidemics: an overview
title_full Mathematical modeling applied to epidemics: an overview
title_fullStr Mathematical modeling applied to epidemics: an overview
title_full_unstemmed Mathematical modeling applied to epidemics: an overview
title_short Mathematical modeling applied to epidemics: an overview
title_sort mathematical modeling applied to epidemics: an overview
topic Survey
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8482738/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40863-021-00268-7
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