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Dynamics of coronavirus pandemic: effects of community awareness and global information campaigns
The effects of social media advertisements together with local awareness in controlling COVID-19 are explored in the present investigation by means of a mathematical model. The expression for the basic reproduction number is derived. Sufficient conditions for the global stability of endemic equilibr...
Autores principales: | , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8488933/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34631341 http://dx.doi.org/10.1140/epjp/s13360-021-01997-6 |
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author | Tiwari, Pankaj Kumar Rai, Rajanish Kumar Khajanchi, Subhas Gupta, Rabindra Kumar Misra, Arvind Kumar |
author_facet | Tiwari, Pankaj Kumar Rai, Rajanish Kumar Khajanchi, Subhas Gupta, Rabindra Kumar Misra, Arvind Kumar |
author_sort | Tiwari, Pankaj Kumar |
collection | PubMed |
description | The effects of social media advertisements together with local awareness in controlling COVID-19 are explored in the present investigation by means of a mathematical model. The expression for the basic reproduction number is derived. Sufficient conditions for the global stability of endemic equilibrium are obtained. We perform sensitivity analysis to identify the key parameters of the model having great impacts on the prevalence and control of COVID-19. We calibrate the proposed model to fit the data set of COVID-19 cases for India. Our simulation results show that dissemination rate of awareness among susceptible individuals at community level and individual level plays pivotal role in curtailing the COVID-19 disease. Moreover, we observe that the global information distributing from social media and local awareness coming from mouth-to-mouth communication between unaware susceptible and aware people, together with hospitalization of symptomatic individuals and quarantine of asymptomatic individuals, are much beneficial in reducing COVID-19 cases in India. Our study suggests that both global and local awareness must be implemented effectively to manage the burden of COVID-19 pandemic. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8488933 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | Springer Berlin Heidelberg |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-84889332021-10-04 Dynamics of coronavirus pandemic: effects of community awareness and global information campaigns Tiwari, Pankaj Kumar Rai, Rajanish Kumar Khajanchi, Subhas Gupta, Rabindra Kumar Misra, Arvind Kumar Eur Phys J Plus Regular Article The effects of social media advertisements together with local awareness in controlling COVID-19 are explored in the present investigation by means of a mathematical model. The expression for the basic reproduction number is derived. Sufficient conditions for the global stability of endemic equilibrium are obtained. We perform sensitivity analysis to identify the key parameters of the model having great impacts on the prevalence and control of COVID-19. We calibrate the proposed model to fit the data set of COVID-19 cases for India. Our simulation results show that dissemination rate of awareness among susceptible individuals at community level and individual level plays pivotal role in curtailing the COVID-19 disease. Moreover, we observe that the global information distributing from social media and local awareness coming from mouth-to-mouth communication between unaware susceptible and aware people, together with hospitalization of symptomatic individuals and quarantine of asymptomatic individuals, are much beneficial in reducing COVID-19 cases in India. Our study suggests that both global and local awareness must be implemented effectively to manage the burden of COVID-19 pandemic. Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2021-10-04 2021 /pmc/articles/PMC8488933/ /pubmed/34631341 http://dx.doi.org/10.1140/epjp/s13360-021-01997-6 Text en © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Società Italiana di Fisica and Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2021 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic. |
spellingShingle | Regular Article Tiwari, Pankaj Kumar Rai, Rajanish Kumar Khajanchi, Subhas Gupta, Rabindra Kumar Misra, Arvind Kumar Dynamics of coronavirus pandemic: effects of community awareness and global information campaigns |
title | Dynamics of coronavirus pandemic: effects of community awareness and global information campaigns |
title_full | Dynamics of coronavirus pandemic: effects of community awareness and global information campaigns |
title_fullStr | Dynamics of coronavirus pandemic: effects of community awareness and global information campaigns |
title_full_unstemmed | Dynamics of coronavirus pandemic: effects of community awareness and global information campaigns |
title_short | Dynamics of coronavirus pandemic: effects of community awareness and global information campaigns |
title_sort | dynamics of coronavirus pandemic: effects of community awareness and global information campaigns |
topic | Regular Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8488933/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34631341 http://dx.doi.org/10.1140/epjp/s13360-021-01997-6 |
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