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Association between human coronaviruses’ epidemic and environmental factors on a global scale

Environmental factors could influence the epidemic of virus in human; however, the association remains intricate, and the evidence is still not clear in human coronaviruses (HCoVs). We aimed to explore and compare the associations between HCoVs’ epidemic and environmental factors globally. Four comm...

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Autores principales: Yan, Xiangyu, Wang, Zekun, Wang, Xuechun, Zhang, Xiangyu, Wang, Lianhao, Lu, Zuhong, Jia, Zhongwei
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8490851/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34609683
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-16500-y
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author Yan, Xiangyu
Wang, Zekun
Wang, Xuechun
Zhang, Xiangyu
Wang, Lianhao
Lu, Zuhong
Jia, Zhongwei
author_facet Yan, Xiangyu
Wang, Zekun
Wang, Xuechun
Zhang, Xiangyu
Wang, Lianhao
Lu, Zuhong
Jia, Zhongwei
author_sort Yan, Xiangyu
collection PubMed
description Environmental factors could influence the epidemic of virus in human; however, the association remains intricate, and the evidence is still not clear in human coronaviruses (HCoVs). We aimed to explore and compare the associations between HCoVs’ epidemic and environmental factors globally. Four common HCoVs’ data were collected by a systematic literature review, and data of MERS, SARS, and COVID-19 were collected from the World Health Organization’s reports. Monthly positive rates of common HCoVs and incidence rates of MERS, SARS, and COVID-19 were calculated. Geographical coordinates were used to link virus data and environmental data. Generalized additive models (GAMs) were used to quantitatively estimate the association of environmental factors with HCoVs’ epidemic. We found that there are wide associations between HCoVs and environmental factors on a global scale, and some of the associations were nonlinear. In addition, COVID-19 has the most similarities in associations’ direction with common HCoVs, especially for HCoV-HKU1 in four environmental factors including the significantly negative associations with average temperature, precipitation, vegetation coverage (p<0.05), and the U-shaped association with temperature range. This study strengthened the relevant research evidences and provided significant insights into the epidemic rules of HCoVs in general. The similarities between COVID-19 and common HCoVs indicated that it is critically important to strengthen surveillance on common HCoVs and pay more attention to environmental factors’ role in surveillance and early warning of HCoVs’ epidemic. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11356-021-16500-y.
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spelling pubmed-84908512021-10-05 Association between human coronaviruses’ epidemic and environmental factors on a global scale Yan, Xiangyu Wang, Zekun Wang, Xuechun Zhang, Xiangyu Wang, Lianhao Lu, Zuhong Jia, Zhongwei Environ Sci Pollut Res Int Research Article Environmental factors could influence the epidemic of virus in human; however, the association remains intricate, and the evidence is still not clear in human coronaviruses (HCoVs). We aimed to explore and compare the associations between HCoVs’ epidemic and environmental factors globally. Four common HCoVs’ data were collected by a systematic literature review, and data of MERS, SARS, and COVID-19 were collected from the World Health Organization’s reports. Monthly positive rates of common HCoVs and incidence rates of MERS, SARS, and COVID-19 were calculated. Geographical coordinates were used to link virus data and environmental data. Generalized additive models (GAMs) were used to quantitatively estimate the association of environmental factors with HCoVs’ epidemic. We found that there are wide associations between HCoVs and environmental factors on a global scale, and some of the associations were nonlinear. In addition, COVID-19 has the most similarities in associations’ direction with common HCoVs, especially for HCoV-HKU1 in four environmental factors including the significantly negative associations with average temperature, precipitation, vegetation coverage (p<0.05), and the U-shaped association with temperature range. This study strengthened the relevant research evidences and provided significant insights into the epidemic rules of HCoVs in general. The similarities between COVID-19 and common HCoVs indicated that it is critically important to strengthen surveillance on common HCoVs and pay more attention to environmental factors’ role in surveillance and early warning of HCoVs’ epidemic. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11356-021-16500-y. Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2021-10-05 2022 /pmc/articles/PMC8490851/ /pubmed/34609683 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-16500-y Text en © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2021 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Research Article
Yan, Xiangyu
Wang, Zekun
Wang, Xuechun
Zhang, Xiangyu
Wang, Lianhao
Lu, Zuhong
Jia, Zhongwei
Association between human coronaviruses’ epidemic and environmental factors on a global scale
title Association between human coronaviruses’ epidemic and environmental factors on a global scale
title_full Association between human coronaviruses’ epidemic and environmental factors on a global scale
title_fullStr Association between human coronaviruses’ epidemic and environmental factors on a global scale
title_full_unstemmed Association between human coronaviruses’ epidemic and environmental factors on a global scale
title_short Association between human coronaviruses’ epidemic and environmental factors on a global scale
title_sort association between human coronaviruses’ epidemic and environmental factors on a global scale
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8490851/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34609683
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-16500-y
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