Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio is a marker for acute kidney injury progression and mortality in critically ill populations: a population-based, multi-institutional study

BACKGROUNDS: Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), a surrogate marker of systemic response to physiological stress, is used for prognosis prediction in many diseases. However, the usefulness of this marker for predicting acute kidney injury (AKI) progression is unclear. METHODS: This retrospective study was based on the Chang Gung Research Database. Patients admitted to the intensive care unit with a diagnosis of stage 1 or 2 AKI were identified. The primary outcome was a composite of progression to stage 3 AKI, requirement of renal replacement therapy, or 14-day in-hospital mortality. The association between NLR and the primary outcome was examined using a logistic regression model and multivariable analysis. The nonlinearity and cutoff points of this relationship were determined using a restricted cubic spline model. RESULTS: A total of 10,441 patients were enrolled. NLR level at the time of stage 1–2 AKI diagnosis was a marker of adverse outcomes. After adjustment for confounders, NLR was independently associated with the composite outcome of AKI progression, renal replacement therapy, or mortality. The restricted cubic spline model revealed a J-shaped curve, with the lowest odds ratio for an NLR between 7 and 38. Subgroup analysis revealed linear and J-shaped relationships between NLR and the primary outcome in patients admitted to the intensive care unit for medical reasons and for cardiovascular surgery, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: NLR is an independent marker of AKI progression and in-hospital mortality. Because it is readily available in daily practice, it might be used for risk stratification in the AKI population. GRAPHIC ABSTRACT: [Image: see text] SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40620-021-01162-3.