Rapid prognostic stratification using Point of Care ultrasound in critically ill COVID patients: The role of epicardial fat thickness, myocardial injury and age

PURPOSE: The burden of critical COVID-19 patients in intensive care units (ICU) demands new tools to stratify patient risk. We aimed to investigate the role of cardiac and lung ultrasound, together with clinical variables, to propose a simple score to help predict short-term mortality in these patients. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We collected clinical and laboratorial data, and a point-of-care cardiac and lung ultrasound was performed in the first 36 h of admission in the ICU. RESULTS: Out of 78 patients (61 ± 12y-o, 55% male), 33 (42%) died during the hospitalization. Deceased patients were generally older, had worse values for SOFA score, baseline troponin levels, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), LV diastolic function, and increased epicardial fat thickness (EFT), despite a similar prevalence of severe lung ultrasound scores. Based on the multivariable model, we created the POCOVID score, including age (>60 years), myocardial injury (LVEF<50% and/or usTnI>99til), and increased EFT (>0.8 cm). The presence of two out of these three criteria identified patients with almost twice the risk of death. CONCLUSIONS: A higher POCOVID score at ICU admission can be helpful to stratify critical COVID-19 patients with increased in-hospital mortality and to optimize medical resources allocation in more strict-resource settings.