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Optimal control strategies on COVID-19 infection to bolster the efficacy of vaccination in India

The Novel Coronavirus which emerged in India on January/30/2020 has become a catastrophe to the country on the basis of health and economy. Due to rapid variations in the transmission of COVID-19, an accurate prediction to determine the long term effects is infeasible. This paper has introduced a no...

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Autores principales: Rajput, Ashutosh, Sajid, Mohammad, Tanvi, Shekhar, Chandra, Aggarwal, Rajiv
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8505443/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34635703
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-99088-0
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author Rajput, Ashutosh
Sajid, Mohammad
Tanvi
Shekhar, Chandra
Aggarwal, Rajiv
author_facet Rajput, Ashutosh
Sajid, Mohammad
Tanvi
Shekhar, Chandra
Aggarwal, Rajiv
author_sort Rajput, Ashutosh
collection PubMed
description The Novel Coronavirus which emerged in India on January/30/2020 has become a catastrophe to the country on the basis of health and economy. Due to rapid variations in the transmission of COVID-19, an accurate prediction to determine the long term effects is infeasible. This paper has introduced a nonlinear mathematical model to interpret the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 infection along with providing vaccination in the precedence. To minimize the level of infection and treatment burden, the optimal control strategies are carried out by using the Pontryagin’s Maximum Principle. The data validation has been done by correlating the estimated number of infectives with the real data of India for the month of March/2021. Corresponding to the model, the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] is introduced to understand the transmission dynamics of COVID-19. To justify the significance of parameters we determined the sensitivity analysis of [Formula: see text] using the parameters value. In the numerical simulations, we concluded that reducing [Formula: see text] below unity is not sufficient enough to eradicate the COVID-19 disease and thus, it is required to increase the vaccination rate and its efficacy by motivating individuals to take precautionary measures.
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spelling pubmed-85054432021-10-13 Optimal control strategies on COVID-19 infection to bolster the efficacy of vaccination in India Rajput, Ashutosh Sajid, Mohammad Tanvi Shekhar, Chandra Aggarwal, Rajiv Sci Rep Article The Novel Coronavirus which emerged in India on January/30/2020 has become a catastrophe to the country on the basis of health and economy. Due to rapid variations in the transmission of COVID-19, an accurate prediction to determine the long term effects is infeasible. This paper has introduced a nonlinear mathematical model to interpret the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 infection along with providing vaccination in the precedence. To minimize the level of infection and treatment burden, the optimal control strategies are carried out by using the Pontryagin’s Maximum Principle. The data validation has been done by correlating the estimated number of infectives with the real data of India for the month of March/2021. Corresponding to the model, the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] is introduced to understand the transmission dynamics of COVID-19. To justify the significance of parameters we determined the sensitivity analysis of [Formula: see text] using the parameters value. In the numerical simulations, we concluded that reducing [Formula: see text] below unity is not sufficient enough to eradicate the COVID-19 disease and thus, it is required to increase the vaccination rate and its efficacy by motivating individuals to take precautionary measures. Nature Publishing Group UK 2021-10-11 /pmc/articles/PMC8505443/ /pubmed/34635703 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-99088-0 Text en © The Author(s) 2021 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Article
Rajput, Ashutosh
Sajid, Mohammad
Tanvi
Shekhar, Chandra
Aggarwal, Rajiv
Optimal control strategies on COVID-19 infection to bolster the efficacy of vaccination in India
title Optimal control strategies on COVID-19 infection to bolster the efficacy of vaccination in India
title_full Optimal control strategies on COVID-19 infection to bolster the efficacy of vaccination in India
title_fullStr Optimal control strategies on COVID-19 infection to bolster the efficacy of vaccination in India
title_full_unstemmed Optimal control strategies on COVID-19 infection to bolster the efficacy of vaccination in India
title_short Optimal control strategies on COVID-19 infection to bolster the efficacy of vaccination in India
title_sort optimal control strategies on covid-19 infection to bolster the efficacy of vaccination in india
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8505443/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34635703
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-99088-0
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