Low diagnostic accuracy and inter-observer agreement on CT and MRI in diagnosis of spinal fractures in multiple myeloma

Skeletal disease is common in multiple myeloma. We investigated the inter-observer agreement and diagnostic accuracy of spinal fractures diagnosed by computer tomography (CT) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) from 12 myeloma patients. Two radiologists independently assessed the images. CT, MRI, and other images were combined to a gold standard. The inter-observer agreement was assessed with Cohen’s kappa. Radiologist 1 diagnosed 20 malignant spinal fractures on CT and 26 on MRI, while radiologist 2 diagnosed 12 malignant spinal fractures on CT and 22 on MRI. In comparison the gold standard diagnosed 10 malignant spinal fractures. The sensitivity for malignant fractures varied from 0.5 to 1 for CT and MRI, and the specificity varied from 0.17 to 0.67. On MRI, the specificity for malignant spinal fractures was 0.17 for both radiologists. The inter-observer agreement for malignant spinal fractures on CT was -0.42 (Cohen’s kappa) and -0.13 for MRI, while for osteoporotic fractures it was -0.24 for CT and 0.53 for MRI. We conclude that malignant spinal fractures were over-diagnosed on CT and MRI. The inter-observer agreement was extremely poor.