Personalized analysis of minimal residual cancer cells in peritoneal lavage fluid predicts peritoneal dissemination of gastric cancer

Peritoneal dissemination (PD) is a major type of gastric cancer (GC) recurrence and leads to rapid death. Current approaches cannot precisely determine which patients are at high risk of PD to provide early intervention. In this study, we developed a technology to detect minimal residual cancer cells in peritoneal lavage fluid (PLF) samples with a personalized assay profiling tumor-specific mutations. In a prospective cohort of 104 GC patients, the technology detected all the cases that developed PD with 100% sensitivity and 85% specificity. The minimal residual cancer cells in PLF were associated with a significantly increased risk of PD (HR = 145.13; 95% CI 20.20–18,435.79; p < 0.001), which was the strongest independent predictor over pathologic diagnosis and cytological diagnosis. In pathologically high-risk (pT4) patients, the PLF mutation profiling model exhibited a greater specificity of 91% and a positive predictive value of 88% while retaining a sensitivity of 100%. This approach may help in the postsurgical management of GC patients by detecting PD far before metastatic lesions grow to a significant size detectable by conventional methods such as MRI and CT scanning. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13045-021-01175-2.