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Analysis and Prediction of Sulfate Erosion Damage of Concrete in Service Tunnel Based on ARIMA Model

Sulfate erosion is a major cause of concrete durability deteriorations, especially for the service tunnels that suffer sulfate erosion for a long time. Accurately predicting the concrete damage failure under sulfate erosion has been a challenging problem in the evaluation and maintenance of concrete...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Liu, Dunwen, Chen, Haofei, Tang, Yu, Gong, Chun, Jian, Yinghua, Cao, Kunpeng
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: MDPI 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8510071/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34640299
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ma14195904
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author Liu, Dunwen
Chen, Haofei
Tang, Yu
Gong, Chun
Jian, Yinghua
Cao, Kunpeng
author_facet Liu, Dunwen
Chen, Haofei
Tang, Yu
Gong, Chun
Jian, Yinghua
Cao, Kunpeng
author_sort Liu, Dunwen
collection PubMed
description Sulfate erosion is a major cause of concrete durability deteriorations, especially for the service tunnels that suffer sulfate erosion for a long time. Accurately predicting the concrete damage failure under sulfate erosion has been a challenging problem in the evaluation and maintenance of concrete structures. Here we design the dry–wet cycle test of service tunnel concrete under sulfate erosion and analyze the Elastic relative dynamic modulus (Erd) and mass under 35 times cycle periods. Then we develop an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) prediction model linking damage failure to Erd and mass. The results show that the deterioration of concrete first increased and then decreased with an extension of the dry–wet cycle period. Moreover, based on a finite set of training data, the proposed prediction approach shows high accuracy for the changes of concrete damage failure parameters in or out of the training dataset. The ARIMA method is proven to be feasible and efficient for predicting the concrete damage failure of service tunnels under sulfate erosion for a long time.
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spelling pubmed-85100712021-10-13 Analysis and Prediction of Sulfate Erosion Damage of Concrete in Service Tunnel Based on ARIMA Model Liu, Dunwen Chen, Haofei Tang, Yu Gong, Chun Jian, Yinghua Cao, Kunpeng Materials (Basel) Article Sulfate erosion is a major cause of concrete durability deteriorations, especially for the service tunnels that suffer sulfate erosion for a long time. Accurately predicting the concrete damage failure under sulfate erosion has been a challenging problem in the evaluation and maintenance of concrete structures. Here we design the dry–wet cycle test of service tunnel concrete under sulfate erosion and analyze the Elastic relative dynamic modulus (Erd) and mass under 35 times cycle periods. Then we develop an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) prediction model linking damage failure to Erd and mass. The results show that the deterioration of concrete first increased and then decreased with an extension of the dry–wet cycle period. Moreover, based on a finite set of training data, the proposed prediction approach shows high accuracy for the changes of concrete damage failure parameters in or out of the training dataset. The ARIMA method is proven to be feasible and efficient for predicting the concrete damage failure of service tunnels under sulfate erosion for a long time. MDPI 2021-10-08 /pmc/articles/PMC8510071/ /pubmed/34640299 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ma14195904 Text en © 2021 by the authors. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Article
Liu, Dunwen
Chen, Haofei
Tang, Yu
Gong, Chun
Jian, Yinghua
Cao, Kunpeng
Analysis and Prediction of Sulfate Erosion Damage of Concrete in Service Tunnel Based on ARIMA Model
title Analysis and Prediction of Sulfate Erosion Damage of Concrete in Service Tunnel Based on ARIMA Model
title_full Analysis and Prediction of Sulfate Erosion Damage of Concrete in Service Tunnel Based on ARIMA Model
title_fullStr Analysis and Prediction of Sulfate Erosion Damage of Concrete in Service Tunnel Based on ARIMA Model
title_full_unstemmed Analysis and Prediction of Sulfate Erosion Damage of Concrete in Service Tunnel Based on ARIMA Model
title_short Analysis and Prediction of Sulfate Erosion Damage of Concrete in Service Tunnel Based on ARIMA Model
title_sort analysis and prediction of sulfate erosion damage of concrete in service tunnel based on arima model
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8510071/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34640299
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ma14195904
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