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Spatial Modelling of Risk Factors for Malaria Prevalence in SNNP Regional State, Ethiopia
BACKGROUND: Malaria is one of the most severe public health problems worldwide with 300 to 500 million cases and about one million deaths reported to date of which 90% were from world health organization (WHO) Sub Saharan Africa (SSA) countries. The purpose of this study was to explore the spatial d...
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
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Research and Publications Office of Jimma University
2021
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Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8512951/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34703172 http://dx.doi.org/10.4314/ejhs.v31i4.7 |
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author | Toma, Shammena Aklilu Eneyew, Baleh Wubejig Taye, Goshu Ayele |
author_facet | Toma, Shammena Aklilu Eneyew, Baleh Wubejig Taye, Goshu Ayele |
author_sort | Toma, Shammena Aklilu |
collection | PubMed |
description | BACKGROUND: Malaria is one of the most severe public health problems worldwide with 300 to 500 million cases and about one million deaths reported to date of which 90% were from world health organization (WHO) Sub Saharan Africa (SSA) countries. The purpose of this study was to explore the spatial distribution of malaria parasite prevalence (MPP) among districts of Southern Nations Nationalities and Peoples Regional State (SNNRS) in Ethiopia by using 2011 malaria indicator survey (MIS) data collected for 76 districts and to model its relationship with different covariates. METHOD: Exploratory spatial data analysis (ESDA) was conducted followed by implementation of spatial lag model (SLM) and spatial error model (SEM) in GeoDa software. Queen contiguity second order type of spatial weight matrix was applied in order to formalize spatial interaction among districts. RESULTS: From ESDA, we found positive spatial autocorrelation in malaria prevalence rate. Hot spot areas for MPP were found in the eastern and southeast parts of the region. Relying on specification diagnostics and measures of fit, SLM was found to be the best model for explaining the geographical variation of MPP. SLM analysis demonstrated that proportion of households living in earth/local dung plastered floor house, proportion of households living under thatched roof house, average number of rooms/person in a given district, proportion of households who used anti-malaria spray in the last 12 months before the survey, percentage household using mosquito nets and average number of mosquito nets/person in a given district have positive and statistically significant effect on spatial distribution of MPP across districts of SNNPRS. Percentage of households living without access to radio and television has negative and statistically significant effect on spatial distribution of MPP across districts of MPP. CONCLUSION: Malaria is spatially clustered in space. The implication of the spatial clustering is that, in cases where the decisions on how to allocate funds for interventions needs to have spatial dimension. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-8512951 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2021 |
publisher | Research and Publications Office of Jimma University |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-85129512021-10-25 Spatial Modelling of Risk Factors for Malaria Prevalence in SNNP Regional State, Ethiopia Toma, Shammena Aklilu Eneyew, Baleh Wubejig Taye, Goshu Ayele Ethiop J Health Sci Original Article BACKGROUND: Malaria is one of the most severe public health problems worldwide with 300 to 500 million cases and about one million deaths reported to date of which 90% were from world health organization (WHO) Sub Saharan Africa (SSA) countries. The purpose of this study was to explore the spatial distribution of malaria parasite prevalence (MPP) among districts of Southern Nations Nationalities and Peoples Regional State (SNNRS) in Ethiopia by using 2011 malaria indicator survey (MIS) data collected for 76 districts and to model its relationship with different covariates. METHOD: Exploratory spatial data analysis (ESDA) was conducted followed by implementation of spatial lag model (SLM) and spatial error model (SEM) in GeoDa software. Queen contiguity second order type of spatial weight matrix was applied in order to formalize spatial interaction among districts. RESULTS: From ESDA, we found positive spatial autocorrelation in malaria prevalence rate. Hot spot areas for MPP were found in the eastern and southeast parts of the region. Relying on specification diagnostics and measures of fit, SLM was found to be the best model for explaining the geographical variation of MPP. SLM analysis demonstrated that proportion of households living in earth/local dung plastered floor house, proportion of households living under thatched roof house, average number of rooms/person in a given district, proportion of households who used anti-malaria spray in the last 12 months before the survey, percentage household using mosquito nets and average number of mosquito nets/person in a given district have positive and statistically significant effect on spatial distribution of MPP across districts of SNNPRS. Percentage of households living without access to radio and television has negative and statistically significant effect on spatial distribution of MPP across districts of MPP. CONCLUSION: Malaria is spatially clustered in space. The implication of the spatial clustering is that, in cases where the decisions on how to allocate funds for interventions needs to have spatial dimension. Research and Publications Office of Jimma University 2021-07 /pmc/articles/PMC8512951/ /pubmed/34703172 http://dx.doi.org/10.4314/ejhs.v31i4.7 Text en © 2021 Shammena Aklilu Toma. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. |
spellingShingle | Original Article Toma, Shammena Aklilu Eneyew, Baleh Wubejig Taye, Goshu Ayele Spatial Modelling of Risk Factors for Malaria Prevalence in SNNP Regional State, Ethiopia |
title | Spatial Modelling of Risk Factors for Malaria Prevalence in SNNP Regional State, Ethiopia |
title_full | Spatial Modelling of Risk Factors for Malaria Prevalence in SNNP Regional State, Ethiopia |
title_fullStr | Spatial Modelling of Risk Factors for Malaria Prevalence in SNNP Regional State, Ethiopia |
title_full_unstemmed | Spatial Modelling of Risk Factors for Malaria Prevalence in SNNP Regional State, Ethiopia |
title_short | Spatial Modelling of Risk Factors for Malaria Prevalence in SNNP Regional State, Ethiopia |
title_sort | spatial modelling of risk factors for malaria prevalence in snnp regional state, ethiopia |
topic | Original Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8512951/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34703172 http://dx.doi.org/10.4314/ejhs.v31i4.7 |
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