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The Liver Retransplantation Risk Score: a prognostic model for survival after adult liver retransplantation

High‐risk combinations of recipient and graft characteristics are poorly defined for liver retransplantation (reLT) in the current era. We aimed to develop a risk model for survival after reLT using data from the European Liver Transplantation Registry, followed by internal and external validation....

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Autores principales: Brüggenwirth, Isabel M. A., Werner, Maureen J. M., Adam, René, Polak, Wojciech G., Karam, Vincent, Heneghan, Michael A., Mehrabi, Arianeb, Klempnauer, Jürgen L., Paul, Andreas, Mirza, Darius F., Pratschke, Johann, Salizzoni, Mauro, Cherqui, Daniel, Allison, Michael, Soubrane, Olivier, Staffa, Steven J., Zurakowski, David, Porte, Robert J., de Meijer, Vincent E.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8518385/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34160850
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/tri.13956
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author Brüggenwirth, Isabel M. A.
Werner, Maureen J. M.
Adam, René
Polak, Wojciech G.
Karam, Vincent
Heneghan, Michael A.
Mehrabi, Arianeb
Klempnauer, Jürgen L.
Paul, Andreas
Mirza, Darius F.
Pratschke, Johann
Salizzoni, Mauro
Cherqui, Daniel
Allison, Michael
Soubrane, Olivier
Staffa, Steven J.
Zurakowski, David
Porte, Robert J.
de Meijer, Vincent E.
author_facet Brüggenwirth, Isabel M. A.
Werner, Maureen J. M.
Adam, René
Polak, Wojciech G.
Karam, Vincent
Heneghan, Michael A.
Mehrabi, Arianeb
Klempnauer, Jürgen L.
Paul, Andreas
Mirza, Darius F.
Pratschke, Johann
Salizzoni, Mauro
Cherqui, Daniel
Allison, Michael
Soubrane, Olivier
Staffa, Steven J.
Zurakowski, David
Porte, Robert J.
de Meijer, Vincent E.
author_sort Brüggenwirth, Isabel M. A.
collection PubMed
description High‐risk combinations of recipient and graft characteristics are poorly defined for liver retransplantation (reLT) in the current era. We aimed to develop a risk model for survival after reLT using data from the European Liver Transplantation Registry, followed by internal and external validation. From 2006 to 2016, 85 067 liver transplants were recorded, including 5581 reLTs (6.6%). The final model included seven predictors of graft survival: recipient age, model for end‐stage liver disease score, indication for reLT, recipient hospitalization, time between primary liver transplantation and reLT, donor age, and cold ischemia time. By assigning points to each variable in proportion to their hazard ratio, a simplified risk score was created ranging 0–10. Low‐risk (0–3), medium‐risk (4–5), and high‐risk (6–10) groups were identified with significantly different 5‐year survival rates ranging 56.9% (95% CI 52.8–60.7%), 46.3% (95% CI 41.1–51.4%), and 32.1% (95% CI 23.5–41.0%), respectively (P < 0.001). External validation showed that the expected survival rates were closely aligned with the observed mortality probabilities. The Retransplantation Risk Score identifies high‐risk combinations of recipient‐ and graft‐related factors prognostic for long‐term graft survival after reLT. This tool may serve as a guidance for clinical decision‐making on liver acceptance for reLT.
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spelling pubmed-85183852021-10-21 The Liver Retransplantation Risk Score: a prognostic model for survival after adult liver retransplantation Brüggenwirth, Isabel M. A. Werner, Maureen J. M. Adam, René Polak, Wojciech G. Karam, Vincent Heneghan, Michael A. Mehrabi, Arianeb Klempnauer, Jürgen L. Paul, Andreas Mirza, Darius F. Pratschke, Johann Salizzoni, Mauro Cherqui, Daniel Allison, Michael Soubrane, Olivier Staffa, Steven J. Zurakowski, David Porte, Robert J. de Meijer, Vincent E. Transpl Int Original Articles High‐risk combinations of recipient and graft characteristics are poorly defined for liver retransplantation (reLT) in the current era. We aimed to develop a risk model for survival after reLT using data from the European Liver Transplantation Registry, followed by internal and external validation. From 2006 to 2016, 85 067 liver transplants were recorded, including 5581 reLTs (6.6%). The final model included seven predictors of graft survival: recipient age, model for end‐stage liver disease score, indication for reLT, recipient hospitalization, time between primary liver transplantation and reLT, donor age, and cold ischemia time. By assigning points to each variable in proportion to their hazard ratio, a simplified risk score was created ranging 0–10. Low‐risk (0–3), medium‐risk (4–5), and high‐risk (6–10) groups were identified with significantly different 5‐year survival rates ranging 56.9% (95% CI 52.8–60.7%), 46.3% (95% CI 41.1–51.4%), and 32.1% (95% CI 23.5–41.0%), respectively (P < 0.001). External validation showed that the expected survival rates were closely aligned with the observed mortality probabilities. The Retransplantation Risk Score identifies high‐risk combinations of recipient‐ and graft‐related factors prognostic for long‐term graft survival after reLT. This tool may serve as a guidance for clinical decision‐making on liver acceptance for reLT. John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2021-07-16 2021-10 /pmc/articles/PMC8518385/ /pubmed/34160850 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/tri.13956 Text en © 2021 The Authors. Transplant International published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Steunstichting ESOT https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) License, which permits use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non‐commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made.
spellingShingle Original Articles
Brüggenwirth, Isabel M. A.
Werner, Maureen J. M.
Adam, René
Polak, Wojciech G.
Karam, Vincent
Heneghan, Michael A.
Mehrabi, Arianeb
Klempnauer, Jürgen L.
Paul, Andreas
Mirza, Darius F.
Pratschke, Johann
Salizzoni, Mauro
Cherqui, Daniel
Allison, Michael
Soubrane, Olivier
Staffa, Steven J.
Zurakowski, David
Porte, Robert J.
de Meijer, Vincent E.
The Liver Retransplantation Risk Score: a prognostic model for survival after adult liver retransplantation
title The Liver Retransplantation Risk Score: a prognostic model for survival after adult liver retransplantation
title_full The Liver Retransplantation Risk Score: a prognostic model for survival after adult liver retransplantation
title_fullStr The Liver Retransplantation Risk Score: a prognostic model for survival after adult liver retransplantation
title_full_unstemmed The Liver Retransplantation Risk Score: a prognostic model for survival after adult liver retransplantation
title_short The Liver Retransplantation Risk Score: a prognostic model for survival after adult liver retransplantation
title_sort liver retransplantation risk score: a prognostic model for survival after adult liver retransplantation
topic Original Articles
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8518385/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34160850
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/tri.13956
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