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Extended Epidemiological Models for Weak Economic Region: Case Studies of the Spreading of COVID-19 in the South Asian Subcontinental Countries

The ascendancy of coronavirus has become widespread all around the world. For the prevention of viral transmission, the pattern of disease is explored. Epidemiological modeling is a vital component of the research. These models assist in studying various aspects of infectious diseases, such as death...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Mugdha, Shafayat Bin Shabbir, Uddin, Mahtab, Islam, Md. Toriqul
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Hindawi 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8526245/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34676263
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/7787624
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author Mugdha, Shafayat Bin Shabbir
Uddin, Mahtab
Islam, Md. Toriqul
author_facet Mugdha, Shafayat Bin Shabbir
Uddin, Mahtab
Islam, Md. Toriqul
author_sort Mugdha, Shafayat Bin Shabbir
collection PubMed
description The ascendancy of coronavirus has become widespread all around the world. For the prevention of viral transmission, the pattern of disease is explored. Epidemiological modeling is a vital component of the research. These models assist in studying various aspects of infectious diseases, such as death, recovery, and infection rates. Coronavirus trends across several countries may analyze sufficiently using SIR, SEIR, and SIQR models. Across this study, we propose two modified versions of the SEIRD method for evaluating the transmission of this infectious disease in the South Asian countries, more precisely, in the south Asian subcontinent. The SEIRD model is updated further by fusing some new factors, namely, isolation for the suspected people and recovery and death of the people who are not under the coverage of healthcare schemes or reluctant to receive treatment for various catastrophes. We will investigate the influences of those ingredients on public health-related issues. Finally, we will predict and display the infection scenario and relevant elements with the concluding remarks through the statistical analysis.
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spelling pubmed-85262452021-10-20 Extended Epidemiological Models for Weak Economic Region: Case Studies of the Spreading of COVID-19 in the South Asian Subcontinental Countries Mugdha, Shafayat Bin Shabbir Uddin, Mahtab Islam, Md. Toriqul Biomed Res Int Research Article The ascendancy of coronavirus has become widespread all around the world. For the prevention of viral transmission, the pattern of disease is explored. Epidemiological modeling is a vital component of the research. These models assist in studying various aspects of infectious diseases, such as death, recovery, and infection rates. Coronavirus trends across several countries may analyze sufficiently using SIR, SEIR, and SIQR models. Across this study, we propose two modified versions of the SEIRD method for evaluating the transmission of this infectious disease in the South Asian countries, more precisely, in the south Asian subcontinent. The SEIRD model is updated further by fusing some new factors, namely, isolation for the suspected people and recovery and death of the people who are not under the coverage of healthcare schemes or reluctant to receive treatment for various catastrophes. We will investigate the influences of those ingredients on public health-related issues. Finally, we will predict and display the infection scenario and relevant elements with the concluding remarks through the statistical analysis. Hindawi 2021-10-19 /pmc/articles/PMC8526245/ /pubmed/34676263 http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/7787624 Text en Copyright © 2021 Shafayat Bin Shabbir Mugdha et al. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Mugdha, Shafayat Bin Shabbir
Uddin, Mahtab
Islam, Md. Toriqul
Extended Epidemiological Models for Weak Economic Region: Case Studies of the Spreading of COVID-19 in the South Asian Subcontinental Countries
title Extended Epidemiological Models for Weak Economic Region: Case Studies of the Spreading of COVID-19 in the South Asian Subcontinental Countries
title_full Extended Epidemiological Models for Weak Economic Region: Case Studies of the Spreading of COVID-19 in the South Asian Subcontinental Countries
title_fullStr Extended Epidemiological Models for Weak Economic Region: Case Studies of the Spreading of COVID-19 in the South Asian Subcontinental Countries
title_full_unstemmed Extended Epidemiological Models for Weak Economic Region: Case Studies of the Spreading of COVID-19 in the South Asian Subcontinental Countries
title_short Extended Epidemiological Models for Weak Economic Region: Case Studies of the Spreading of COVID-19 in the South Asian Subcontinental Countries
title_sort extended epidemiological models for weak economic region: case studies of the spreading of covid-19 in the south asian subcontinental countries
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8526245/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34676263
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/7787624
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